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Coffee, a beloved and enduring part of daily life for many, has recently seen a significant uptick in performance. Over the past week, the coffee industry, represented by a group of companies including JVA, SBUX, FARM, THS, and KDP, has experienced an impressive increase of +5.43%. This surge in performance is indicative of a broader positive trend in the coffee market, where various factors are contributing to its success.
Theme Description
The coffee industry encompasses producers and restaurants specializing in coffee production. Iconic names such as Starbucks (SBUX), Dunkin Brands Group (now part of Inspire Brands), and Coffee Holding (JVA) are well-known players in this industry. Coffee, a daily staple for many, has evolved over the years, offering consumers a wide variety of choices. These coffee companies have played a pivotal role in shaping and serving this evolving market globally.
Positive Outlook with Strong Indicators
The coffee industry, represented by these stocks, currently exhibits a positive outlook, supported by a 15-indicator stock Fear & Greed Index. Tickeron predicts a further increase of more than 4.00% within the next month with a likelihood of 57%. In the past month, the daily ratio of advancing to declining volumes was balanced at 1 to 1.29.
Notably, four stocks in this group share a positive trend based on the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator, with an average likelihood of 73% for continued upward movement.
Market Capitalization
The coffee theme boasts an average market capitalization of approximately 30 billion USD. However, there's a wide range within this group, with SBUX holding the highest valuation at an impressive 107.9 billion USD. In contrast, JVA is at the lower end of the spectrum with a market capitalization of 4.3 million USD.
High and Low Price Movements
Price movements across the coffee stocks in the group show varying trends over different time frames. The average weekly price growth across these stocks was a substantial 6.04%. For the same theme, the average monthly price growth was -9.38%, and the average quarterly price growth was -24.37%. Among these stocks, FARM stands out with the highest weekly price growth at 15.09%, while KDP experienced a notable fall of 1.97%.
Additionally, let's take a closer look at recent notable price movements:
Volume Trends
Volume trends, an important aspect of stock performance, also reveal interesting insights about this group of coffee stocks. The average weekly volume growth across these stocks was -35.85%. Looking at longer-term trends, the average monthly volume growth was -31.69%, and the average quarterly volume growth was -21.69%.
Recent notable volume movements include:
Individual Stock Highlights
JVA's MACD Histogram Crosses Above Signal Line
SBUX's MACD Histogram Crosses Above Signal Line
FARM's MACD Histogram Crosses Above Signal Line
In conclusion, the coffee industry is currently experiencing strong performance, with favorable market indicators, positive outlooks for individual stocks, and notable price and volume movements. This group of coffee-related companies, including JVA, SBUX, FARM, THS, and KDP, is positioned well for potential growth and continued success in the coming months.
The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an uptrend is expected.
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 9 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where SBUX advanced for three days, in of 292 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
SBUX may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 207 cases where SBUX Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on December 09, 2024. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on SBUX as a result. In of 96 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for SBUX turned negative on December 05, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 53 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 53 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .
SBUX moved below its 50-day moving average on December 13, 2024 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for SBUX crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on December 17, 2024. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 18 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where SBUX declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.000) is normal, around the industry mean (10.872). P/E Ratio (26.577) is within average values for comparable stocks, (56.537). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.780) is also within normal values, averaging (1.760). Dividend Yield (0.026) settles around the average of (0.039) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (2.765) is also within normal values, averaging (8.536).
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. SBUX’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. SBUX’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 82, placing this stock better than average.
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
a producer of coffee and tea
Industry Restaurants