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Jun 26, 2023

Comparing FTNT +15.86% & TWLO +28.74%: Downtrend Protection v.2 vs Choppy Market Trader

Comparing FTNT and TWLO: A Deep-Dive into the Packaged Software and Internet Software/Services Industries
compare:   Swing trader: Downtrend Protection v.2 (TA)    15.86%     for FTNT     vs     Choppy Market Trader for Beginners: Hi-tech Stocks (TA&FA)    28.74%      for TWLO

Performance Overview: FTNT vs TWLO

When comparing the recent performance of FTNT (Packaged Software) and TWLO (Internet Software/Services), noticeable differences come to the surface. Despite a turbulent week, FTNT experienced a less severe price change of -1.64%, while TWLO faced a price change of -5.35% for the same time period.

In terms of industry averages, FTNT is slightly outperforming the Packaged Software industry's average weekly price growth of -1.60%. In contrast, TWLO underperformed when compared to the Internet Software/Services industry's average weekly price growth of -2.03%.

Evaluating Trading Strategies: Swing Trading vs. Choppy Market Trading

Considering trading strategies for these stocks, a swing trader using Downtrend Protection v.2 (Technical Analysis) would see a return of 15.86% for FTNT. On the other hand, a beginner using the Choppy Market Trader strategy for hi-tech stocks (a blend of Technical Analysis and Fundamental Analysis) would witness a return of 28.74% for TWLO.

The higher return for TWLO in a volatile market indicates that the Choppy Market Trader strategy is particularly effective for beginners trading hi-tech stocks in such conditions.

Sector Growth Analysis: Packaged Software vs Internet Software/Services

A comparison of the average price growth across the industries provides some interesting insights. The Packaged Software industry has shown stronger growth over time, with an average monthly price growth of +3.99% and a substantial quarterly price growth of +25.42%.

The Internet Software/Services industry, while also showing positive growth, has not been as robust. The industry posted an average monthly price growth of +2.17% and a quarterly price growth of +10.26%.

These figures suggest that, in general, stocks within the Packaged Software industry have been performing better than those in the Internet Software/Services industry over recent months.

Upcoming Earnings Reports

The next critical event for these companies will be their earnings reports. FTNT is expected to report earnings on Aug 02, 2023, while TWLO is set to report a few days earlier on Jul 27, 2023.

These reports could significantly affect the future performance of these stocks and will be a vital aspect for investors and traders to monitor closely.

Despite the recent price dips, both FTNT and TWLO show potential in their respective strategies and industries. As always, individual investment decisions should consider a broad spectrum of factors, not limited to recent performance and upcoming events.

Related Ticker: FTNT

FTNT's Stochastic Oscillator stays in oversold zone for 1 day

Be on the lookout for a price bounce soon.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where FTNT advanced for three days, in of 357 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 322 cases where FTNT Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for FTNT moved out of overbought territory on October 17, 2024. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 45 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 45 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 24, 2024. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on FTNT as a result. In of 94 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for FTNT turned negative on October 23, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 51 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 51 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where FTNT declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

FTNT broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 09, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating outstanding price growth. FTNT’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 88, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: FTNT's P/B Ratio (555.556) is slightly higher than the industry average of (30.698). P/E Ratio (46.445) is within average values for comparable stocks, (161.895). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.825) is also within normal values, averaging (2.738). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.083) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (10.070) is also within normal values, averaging (55.771).

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Microsoft Corp (null:MSFT), Oracle Corp (null:ORCL), Salesforce (null:CRM), Adobe (null:ADBE), Intuit (null:INTU), Uber Technologies (null:UBER), SERVICENOW (null:NOW), Shopify (null:SHOP), Palo Alto Networks (null:PANW), CrowdStrike Holdings (null:CRWD).

Industry description

Packaged software comprises multiple software programs bundled together and sold as a group. For example, Microsoft Office includes multiple applications such as Excel, Word, and PowerPoint. In some cases, buying a bundled product is cheaper than purchasing each item individually[s20] . Microsoft Corporation, Oracle Corp. and Adobe are some major American packaged software makers.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Packaged Software Industry is 11.22B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 291 to 3.15T. MSFT holds the highest valuation in this group at 3.15T. The lowest valued company is BLGI at 291.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Packaged Software Industry was 1%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 6%, and the average quarterly price growth was -2%. HCTI experienced the highest price growth at 180%, while ZPTA experienced the biggest fall at -69%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Packaged Software Industry was -4%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 30% and the average quarterly volume growth was 55%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 52
P/E Growth Rating: 76
Price Growth Rating: 58
SMR Rating: 81
Profit Risk Rating: 88
Seasonality Score: 12 (-100 ... +100)
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General Information

a provider of threat management and network security solutions

Industry PackagedSoftware

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Computer Communications
Address
909 Kifer Road
Phone
+1 408 235-7700
Employees
13568
Web
https://www.fortinet.com
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