In the strong reversal on May 10, many stocks and ETFs reversed from losses to gains throughout the day. One ETF in particular that caught my attention was the Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR (NYSE: XLY).
The XLY dipped down to its 50-day moving average during the trading day, but then rallied back sharply to close higher. Back in August the XLY bounced off of the 50-day moving average on two occasions before moving to a new all-time high in September.
The reversal allowed the daily stochastic readings to make a bullish crossover and create a possible bullish signal. The indicators weren’t in oversold territory, but they made a similar move back in March before halting a brief pullback. After dipping down to the $107.50 level on March 8, the ETF rallied almost 10% over the next month.
The Tickeron AI Trend Prediction tool generated a bullish signal for the XLY on May 9 and that signal showed a confidence level of 77%. The signal calls for a gain of at least 4% over the next month. Previous predictions on the XLY have been successful an impressive 94% of the time.
The RSI Oscillator for XLY moved out of oversold territory on April 23, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from a downward trend to an upward trend. Traders may want to buy the stock or call options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 36 similar instances when the indicator left oversold territory. In of the 36 cases the stock moved higher. This puts the odds of a move higher at .
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on April 29, 2024. You may want to consider a long position or call options on XLY as a result. In of 79 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for XLY just turned positive on April 29, 2024. Looking at past instances where XLY's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 44 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where XLY advanced for three days, in of 377 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
XLY may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Stochastic Oscillator has been in the overbought zone for 1 day. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.
XLY moved below its 50-day moving average on April 30, 2024 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for XLY crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on April 12, 2024. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 18 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where XLY declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator for XLY entered a downward trend on April 30, 2024. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
Category ConsumerDiscretionary