GET DAILY SIGNALSCostco (COST, $467.75) beat fiscal Q4 expectations; will limit purchases owing to supply chain issues
Costco reported its fiscal fourth quarter earnings that surpassed analysts’ expectations. However, the big-box retail giant said that it would begin limiting purchases of certain essential items amid supply chain challenges.
Costco's earning in the quarter came in at $3.76 per share, up +23.7% year-over-year, and beating analysts’ expectations of $3.58 per share. Gross margins, however, fell -32 basis points to 10.9% owing to rising supply chain costs amid COVID-19 pandemic.
Revenue rose +17% from the year-ago quarter to $62.68 billion, compared to analysts’ estimates of $61.4 billion.
Comparable sales rose by a higher-than-expected +9.4%. Membership fees increased +11.7% to $1.234 billion, and total members topped 61.7 million.
During the earnings call, Costco Chief Financial Officer Richard Galanti said the retailer is “putting some [purchase] limitations on key items.” The items include toilet paper, paper towels, bottled water and high-demand cleaning products. But Galanti did not specify how many of each item customers will be allowed to purchase. The limitations are being placed due to shipping delays and truck driver shortages.
Galanti mentioned that the company has chartered three ocean vessels for the next year to transport containers between Asia and the U.S. and Canada. Each ship has the capacity to carry 800 to 1,000 containers at a time, he said.
COST in upward trend: 10-day moving average broke above 50-day moving average on October 12, 2026
The 10-day moving average for COST crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 12, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 13 of 19 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 68%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on September 25, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on COST as a result. In 51 of 75 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 68%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for COST just turned positive on September 25, 2026. Looking at past instances where COST's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 27 of 49 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 55%.
COST moved above its 50-day moving average on October 06, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
Following a +2.37% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where COST advanced for three days, in 214 of 350 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 61%.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 172 of 335 cases where COST Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 51%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator demonstrates that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 8 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 15 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
COST broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 14, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 12 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 58, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 34 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 41 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 44 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. COST’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 85 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 100 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: COST's P/B Ratio (13.297) is slightly higher than the industry average of (5.626). COST has a moderately high P/E Ratio (50.485) as compared to the industry average of (23.906). COST's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (4.478) is slightly higher than the industry average of (2.171). Dividend Yield (0.006) settles around the average of (0.010) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.353) is also within normal values, averaging (1.008).
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General Information
a company which sells goods through membership warehouses
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