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Sergey Savastiouk's Avatar
published in Blogs
Jan 14, 2019

Crocs (CROX, $30.96) Steps Up Q4 Revenue Guidance

Crocs raised its fourth quarter as well as full-year guidance.

The casual footwear company's latest revenue estimate for the fourth-quarter is in the range of $211 million to $214 million, up from prior guidance of $195 million to $205 million. 

For the full year, Crocs now expects revenue to grow about 6%, compared with prior guidance of 4% to 5%.

Andrew Rees, president and CEO, has indicated that e-commerce and wholesale growth would cushion the effect of reduced number of physical stores. "We had one of our best fourth quarters in years," said Rees.

Related Ticker: CROX

CROX's Indicator enters downward trend

The Aroon Indicator for CROX entered a downward trend on October 06, 2025. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor identified a pattern where the AroonDown red line was above 70 while the AroonUp green line was below 30 for three straight days. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. A.I.dvisor looked at 172 similar instances where the Aroon Indicator formed such a pattern. In of the 172 cases the stock moved lower. This puts the odds of a downward move at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 3 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.

CROX moved below its 50-day moving average on October 24, 2025 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where CROX declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

CROX broke above its upper Bollinger Band on September 29, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 20, 2025. You may want to consider a long position or call options on CROX as a result. In of 81 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for CROX just turned positive on October 13, 2025. Looking at past instances where CROX's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 47 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The 10-day moving average for CROX crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 24, 2025. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 18 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where CROX advanced for three days, in of 301 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (3.183) is normal, around the industry mean (15.143). P/E Ratio (22.505) is within average values for comparable stocks, (60.504). CROX's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is slightly lower than the industry average of (3.014). CROX has a moderately high Dividend Yield (0.067) as compared to the industry average of (0.035). P/S Ratio (1.148) is also within normal values, averaging (1.537).

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. CROX’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. CROX’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 75, placing this stock worse than average.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Nike (NYSE:NKE).

Industry description

Companies in this industry handle the wholesale shipments for the manufacturer of a product. They have warehouses and distribution centers, and they ship products directly to the retailer. Digitization, increasing competition, emerging customer demand, and product innovation are some of shifts that the industry has been facing in recent times – something that is potentially creating needs/opportunities for business model revisions or transformations. Data, analytics, and technology are becoming increasingly important for whole distributors in anticipating and analyzing consumer needs, and therefore planning their business strategies accordingly. Fastenal Company, W.W. Grainger, Inc., Genuine Parts Company and Pool Corporation are some of the largest names in the business.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Wholesale Distributors Industry is 8.21B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 70.2K to 102.16B. NKE holds the highest valuation in this group at 102.16B. The lowest valued company is SCOO at 70.2K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Wholesale Distributors Industry was -0%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -7%, and the average quarterly price growth was 33%. RCKY experienced the highest price growth at 11%, while FORD experienced the biggest fall at -23%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Wholesale Distributors Industry was 59%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 108% and the average quarterly volume growth was 65%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 48
P/E Growth Rating: 49
Price Growth Rating: 59
SMR Rating: 100
Profit Risk Rating: 75
Seasonality Score: 35 (-100 ... +100)
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CROX
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These past five trading days, the stock lost 0.00% with an average daily volume of 0 shares traded.The stock tracked a drawdown of 0% for this period. CROX showed earnings on August 07, 2025. You can read more about the earnings report here.
A.I. Advisor
published General Information

General Information

a retailer of footwear for men, women and children

Industry WholesaleDistributors

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Apparel Or Footwear
Address
500 Eldorado Boulevard, Building 5
Phone
+1 303 848-7000
Employees
7030
Web
https://www.crocs.com
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