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published in Blogs
Mar 12, 2019

Crude oil shipments in limbo as U.S. orders sanctions on Venezuela

Top U.S. buyers of Venezuelan crude oil are in a fix as they now have to return millions of barrels of crude oil due to sanctions on the South American nation, implemented on Jan 28 this year on its state-run energy firm PDVSA.

According to a Reuters report, PDVSA’s U.S. refining subsidiary Citgo Petroleum Corp and Valero Energy (VLO) want to return 2 million barrels of crude oil loaded before the sanctions. On the other hand, another U.S. oil company, Chevron Corp (CVX), unsuccessfully attempted to pay for 4.3 million barrels. Both of these were rejected by the U.S. Office of Foreign Assets Control, which oversees sanctions.

Chevron, the second-largest U.S. oil firm in terms of market value, further attempted to take the oil shipments in lieu of loans and dividends stemming from joint ventures with PDVSA. But it is unclear whether PDVSA would accept the offer as the sanctions forbid it to accept payments. As a result, cargoes loaded at Venezuelan ports before the sanctions now remain stranded.

As of March 8, 11 loaded vessels reportedly remained anchored off ports in Venezuela, two other CVX-chartered cargoes were stuck off the U.S. Gulf Coast and a third was returned to Venezuela’s Amuay terminal.

Related Ticker: VLO

VLO in +2.08% Uptrend, rising for three consecutive days on November 24, 2025

Moving higher for three straight days is viewed as a bullish sign. Keep an eye on this stock for future growth. Considering data from situations where VLO advanced for three days, in of 342 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. of 62 cases where VLO's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 302 cases where VLO Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for VLO moved out of overbought territory on November 12, 2025. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 41 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 41 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on November 20, 2025. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on VLO as a result. In of 78 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for VLO turned negative on November 20, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 44 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 44 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where VLO declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

VLO broke above its upper Bollinger Band on November 11, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating outstanding price growth. VLO’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 62, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.236) is normal, around the industry mean (10.823). P/E Ratio (36.195) is within average values for comparable stocks, (26.289). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (3.290) is also within normal values, averaging (2.620). Dividend Yield (0.026) settles around the average of (0.049) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.443) is also within normal values, averaging (0.534).

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are MARATHON PETROLEUM Corp (NYSE:MPC), Phillips 66 (NYSE:PSX), Valero Energy Corp (NYSE:VLO).

Industry description

The Oil Refining/Marketing segment includes companies that refine crude oil into a number of petroleum products, including gasoline, jet fuel and diesel, and then sell the usable products to the end users. These companies are involved in what’s called downstream operations in the oil business. They also engage in the marketing and distribution of crude oil and natural gas products. In other words, the downstream oil and gas business is focused on post-production processes of crude oil and natural gas. When oil prices slump, downstream businesses are hurt less or in some cases even benefit, since their purchase cost of crude oil goes down. Some of the biggest U.S. oil refining/marketing companies include Phillips 66, Marathon Petroleum Corporation and Valero Energy Corp.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Oil Refining/Marketing Industry is 7.81B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 107.69K to 57.11B. MPC holds the highest valuation in this group at 57.11B. The lowest valued company is AMCF at 107.69K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Oil Refining/Marketing Industry was -1%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -0%, and the average quarterly price growth was 21%. FJLLF experienced the highest price growth at 51%, while OILRF experienced the biggest fall at -21%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Oil Refining/Marketing Industry was -21%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -25% and the average quarterly volume growth was -15%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 57
P/E Growth Rating: 32
Price Growth Rating: 52
SMR Rating: 76
Profit Risk Rating: 61
Seasonality Score: 15 (-100 ... +100)
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VLO
Daily Signal:
Gain/Loss:
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A.I.Advisor
published price charts
These past five trading days, the stock lost 0.00% with an average daily volume of 0 shares traded.The stock tracked a drawdown of 0% for this period. VLO showed earnings on October 23, 2025. You can read more about the earnings report here.
A.I. Advisor
published General Information

General Information

a company that engages in manufacturing and marketing of transportation fuels, other petrochemical products and power

Industry OilRefiningMarketing

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Oil Refining Or Marketing
Address
One Valero Way
Phone
+1 210 345-2000
Employees
9908
Web
https://www.valero.com
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