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Sergey Savastiouk's Avatar
published in Blogs
Apr 13, 2023

CVB Financial (CVBF, $16.04) was a top loser this quarter, falling -34.95%. Expect a Downtrend reversal

CVB Financial Corp (CVBF) has been experiencing a downtrend in the last quarter, dropping by 34.95% to $16.04 per share. The decline in price has been significant, and investors may be wondering if there is a possibility of a downtrend reversal in the near future. To analyze this, we can use the A.I.dvisor platform, which analyzed 986 stocks in the Regional Banks Industry for the 3-month period ending April 11, 2023, and found that 93.06% of them demonstrated a Downtrend.

However, in the case of CVBF, A.I.dvisor found 23 similar cases where the price dropped 15% within three months, and in all those cases, the price went up during the following month. This historical data suggests that the odds of a downtrend reversal for CVBF are 90%. Therefore, there may be a chance for a price recovery in the near future.

But we should also consider the recent price action of CVBF. On April 12, 2023, CVBF continued its downward trend, declining for three consecutive days by 1.67%. This is viewed as a bearish sign and may indicate a possibility of further declines in the future. According to historical data, in 152 out of 286 cases where CVBF declined for three days, the price declined further within the following month. This suggests that the odds of a continued downward trend are 53%.

Therefore, investors should keep a close eye on CVBF in the coming days to see if the current downtrend continues or if a reversal occurs. The earnings results for the company may also play a crucial role in the stock's future price movements. In the previous quarter, CVBF reported earnings of $0.43 per share, beating the consensus estimate by $0.01. The company's revenue for the quarter was $153.90 million, which also beat the consensus estimate by $4.39 million. These positive earnings results may have a positive impact on the stock price in the future. However, investors should note that past performance is not indicative of future results, and it is crucial to conduct proper due diligence before making investment decisions.

Related Ticker: CVBF

CVBF in upward trend: price expected to rise as it breaks its lower Bollinger Band on October 10, 2025

CVBF may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options. In of 36 cases where CVBF's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, its price rose further in the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where CVBF's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, of 24 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. of 65 cases where CVBF's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for CVBF just turned positive on October 20, 2025. Looking at past instances where CVBF's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 52 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where CVBF advanced for three days, in of 277 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 16, 2025. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on CVBF as a result. In of 79 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

CVBF moved below its 50-day moving average on September 22, 2025 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for CVBF crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on September 26, 2025. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 17 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where CVBF declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator for CVBF entered a downward trend on October 23, 2025. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.124) is normal, around the industry mean (1.112). P/E Ratio (12.601) is within average values for comparable stocks, (20.205). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (3.173). Dividend Yield (0.043) settles around the average of (0.037) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (5.258) is also within normal values, averaging (5.106).

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. CVBF’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. CVBF’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 52, placing this stock worse than average.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are US Bancorp (NYSE:USB), Itau Unibanco Banco Holding SA (NYSE:ITUB), PNC Financial Services Group (NYSE:PNC), Deutsche Bank Aktiengesellschaft (NYSE:DB), Banco Bradesco SA (NYSE:BBD), Huntington Bancshares (NASDAQ:HBAN), Regions Financial Corp (NYSE:RF), KeyCorp (NYSE:KEY), Veritex Holdings (NASDAQ:VBTX).

Industry description

Regional banks have a smaller reach than major banks, and cater mostly to one region of a country, such as a state or within a group of states. They offer services often similar – albeit with some limitations/smaller scale – compared to major banks. Taking deposits, making loans, mortgages, leases, credit cards , fund management, insurance and investment banking. SunTrust Banks, State Street Corp., M&T Bank Corp. are some examples of U.S. regional banks.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Regional Banks Industry is 7.79B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 10.73K to 175.93B. HDB holds the highest valuation in this group at 175.93B. The lowest valued company is ACBCQ at 10.73K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Regional Banks Industry was 7%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 5%, and the average quarterly price growth was 23%. CBCY experienced the highest price growth at 4,848%, while SHFS experienced the biggest fall at -19%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Regional Banks Industry was -37%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 8% and the average quarterly volume growth was 49%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 49
P/E Growth Rating: 50
Price Growth Rating: 53
SMR Rating: 43
Profit Risk Rating: 51
Seasonality Score: 31 (-100 ... +100)
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These past five trading days, the stock lost 0.00% with an average daily volume of 0 shares traded.The stock tracked a drawdown of 0% for this period. CVBF showed earnings on October 22, 2025. You can read more about the earnings report here.
A.I. Advisor
published General Information

General Information

a regional bank

Industry RegionalBanks

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Regional Banks
Address
701 N. Haven Avenue
Phone
+1 909 980-4030
Employees
1107
Web
https://www.cbbank.com
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