D.R. Horton missed both revenue and earnings expectations for fiscal fourth quarter, amidst a rising interest rate environment apparently dampening demand for homes.
The biggest home building company in the U.S. earned $4.67 a share in the quarter, compared to $5.07 a share expected by analysts.
Revenue rose just under +19% from the year-ago quarter to $9.64 billion, but fell short of the Street expectations of $9.87 billion. Homebuilding revenue came in at $9.4 billion, increasing from $7.6 billion in the year-ago quarter.
The company experienced a rise in cancellation rate to 32%, from 24% in Q3 and from 19% in the year-ago quarter. Net orders dropped to 13,582 homes (value of $5.4 billion), from 16,693 homes ($6.9 billion value) in Q3 and from 15,949 homes ( $6.0 billion value) in Q4 2021.
The 10-day moving average for DHI crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 22, 2024. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 12 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 22, 2024. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on DHI as a result. In of 84 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for DHI turned negative on October 22, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 50 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 50 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .
DHI moved below its 50-day moving average on October 21, 2024 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where DHI declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator for DHI entered a downward trend on October 24, 2024. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 3 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where DHI advanced for three days, in of 330 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
DHI may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 53, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. DHI’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.320) is normal, around the industry mean (7.196). P/E Ratio (11.663) is within average values for comparable stocks, (103.177). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.639) is also within normal values, averaging (1.437). DHI has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.007) as compared to the industry average of (0.044). P/S Ratio (1.534) is also within normal values, averaging (88.859).
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
a company which engages in construction and sale of single family homes
Industry Homebuilding