GET DAILY SIGNALSDeere (DE, $147.81) misses Q2 earnings estimates; lowers full-year outlook on trade uncertainties
Deere & Co. reported its third quarter earnings that came in lower than expected by analysts. The company also lowered guidance on its full year sales and profit.
The farm equipment maker’s earnings in the quarter increased +4.6% year-over-year to $2.71 per share, but fell short of the Street estimate by 13 cents.
But total revenues climbed +3% from last year to $10.03 billion – beating analysts' forecasts of $9.38 billion.
Looking ahead, Deere expects its full-year 2019 equipment sales to increase + 4% - which is below its prior forecast of around +5%. The company now predicts that its net income would come in at $3.2 billion, down from the company's earlier guidance of $3.3 billion.
CEO Sam Allen indicated that trade tensions continue to weigh on the agriculture industry and therefore on Deere’s earnings prospects. Allen mentioned concerns over exports market, near-term demand for commodities such as soybeans, and overall crop conditions – headwinds that have reportedly led to many farmers holding off major equipment purchases.
Nevertheless, Allen remains hopeful that the long-term potential for the company’s businesses remains healthy. He emphasized that Deere continues to expand its global customer base, and that it is focused on achieving sustainable profitable growth.
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Sergey Savastiouk, Ph.D. has a degree in Applied Mathematics from Moscow University and has extensive experience as an entrepreneur, investor, manager, and mathematician. His professional expertise is in applied mathematics, mathematical modeling, system and pattern analysis, and software and hardware system integration. He has served as the CEO of several hi-tech start-up companies and nonprofit organizations, which has given him proven capabilities in business strategy for high-tech start-up companies, market assessment, company formation, team building, product development, marketing, and sales. He has published numerous articles in journals and magazines on related fields. As a retail investor, he spent 15 years developing his proprietary trading and quantitative algorithms (now Tickeron’s A.I.), which brought him significant returns in trading the stock market. His current work and goal in founding Tickeron is to bring professional, sophisticated stock market analysis capabilities to retail investors via an easy-to-use interface.
DE's RSI Oscillator ascending out of oversold territory
The RSI Oscillator for DE moved out of oversold territory on October 12, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from a downward trend to an upward trend. Traders may want to buy the stock or call options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 24 similar instances when the indicator left oversold territory. In 16 of the 24 cases the stock moved higher. This puts the odds of a move higher at 67%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 29, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on DE as a result. In 46 of 84 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 55%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for DE just turned positive on October 29, 2026. Looking at past instances where DE's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 26 of 46 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 57%.
DE moved above its 50-day moving average on October 30, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
Following a +5.43% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where DE advanced for three days, in 200 of 335 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 60%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator entered the overbought zone. Expect a price pull-back in the foreseeable future.
The 10-day moving average for DE crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 16, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 11 of 18 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 61%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where DE declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 57%.
DE broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 29, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Aroon Indicator for DE entered a downward trend on October 21, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 9 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 13 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 80, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 27 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating outstanding price growth. DE’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 49 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 83 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: DE's P/B Ratio (6.507) is slightly higher than the industry average of (2.425). P/E Ratio (37.443) is within average values for comparable stocks, (4.372). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.600) is also within normal values, averaging (1.745). Dividend Yield (0.010) settles around the average of (0.017) among similar stocks. DE's P/S Ratio (3.868) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (1.169).
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General Information
a manufacturer of agricultural, industrial, commercial and consumer equipment
Industry TrucksConstructionFarmMachinery
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