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Sergey Savastiouk's Avatar
published in Blogs
Aug 20, 2022

Deere (DE, $369.73) misses earnings estimates, despite revenue beat

Deere & Co. missed earnings expectations amidst rising costs, notwithstanding strong revenue growth. It also lowered its full-year profit outlook.

The agricultural equipment maker’s sales of $13.0 billion for the quarter ended July 31 beat analysts’ expectations of $12.78 billion.

However, earnings came in at $6.16 per share, below analysts’ estimates of $6.69 per share (based on Refinitiv IBES data).

The earnings miss could be to some extent attributed to total costs and expenses surging +24.4% year over year.

Deere indicated that it expedited shipping to get tractors and combines on dealer showroom floors, in response to increased demand for new equipment amidst record high commodity prices.

Deere lowered its full-year net income outlook to the range of $7.0 billion to $7.2 billion, vs. prior guidance of  $7.0 billion to $7.4 billion.

 

Related Ticker: DE

DE sees its Stochastic Oscillator climbs out of oversold territory

On October 11, 2024, the Stochastic Oscillator for DE moved out of oversold territory and this could be a bullish sign for the stock. Traders may want to buy the stock or buy call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 64 instances where the indicator left the oversold zone. In of the 64 cases the stock moved higher in the following days. This puts the odds of a move higher at over .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 18, 2024. You may want to consider a long position or call options on DE as a result. In of 86 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The 50-day moving average for DE moved above the 200-day moving average on October 04, 2024. This could be a long-term bullish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an upward trend.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where DE advanced for three days, in of 342 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 251 cases where DE Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for DE moved out of overbought territory on October 03, 2024. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 37 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 37 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for DE turned negative on October 04, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 48 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 48 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where DE declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

DE broke above its upper Bollinger Band on September 18, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 72, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. DE’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: DE's P/B Ratio (5.097) is slightly higher than the industry average of (2.115). P/E Ratio (11.779) is within average values for comparable stocks, (25.104). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.316) is also within normal values, averaging (2.737). Dividend Yield (0.014) settles around the average of (0.055) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.957) is also within normal values, averaging (122.471).

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Caterpillar (null:CAT), Deere & Company (null:DE).

Industry description

The industry designs and builds agricultural, construction and other large commercial and transportation equipment. Tractors, planters and harvesters, as well as rock-crushing, railroad, demolition and other construction implements are produced by this industry. Rapid urbanization and industrialization has been bolstering the expansion of the construction sector in the past few decades, thereby boosting demand for heavy equipment businesses. Caterpillar Inc., Deere & Company and Cummins Inc (Ex. Cummins Engine Inc) are some prominent companies in this industry.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Trucks/Construction/Farm Machinery Industry is 11.75B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 223.29K to 181.64B. CAT holds the highest valuation in this group at 181.64B. The lowest valued company is OSRS at 223.29K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Trucks/Construction/Farm Machinery Industry was -0%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 6%, and the average quarterly price growth was -4%. UGRO experienced the highest price growth at 11%, while IMDXF experienced the biggest fall at -21%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Trucks/Construction/Farm Machinery Industry was 2%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 2% and the average quarterly volume growth was -26%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 39
P/E Growth Rating: 72
Price Growth Rating: 56
SMR Rating: 63
Profit Risk Rating: 71
Seasonality Score: 26 (-100 ... +100)
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published General Information

General Information

a manufacturer of agricultural, industrial, commercial and consumer equipment

Industry TrucksConstructionFarmMachinery

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Trucks Or Construction Or Farm Machinery
Address
One John Deere Place
Phone
+1 309 765-8000
Employees
83000
Web
https://www.deere.com
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