Deere (DE) Slumps as Earnings and Sales Miss Estimates
Shares of the Illinois-based agricultural, construction and forestry machinery manufacturer, Deere & Company (DE), fell by ~5% even before the opening on Wednesday.
The stock dropped below its 50-day trend-line once again this week, after the company reported weaker-than-expected earnings and sales for its fiscal fourth quarter.
DE reported a net income of $748 million, or $2.30 per share, excluding adjustments, for the fourth-quarter while revenue stood at $8.34 billion (+18%). However, analysts estimated an earnings per share of $2.43 and revenue of $8.594 billion (+21%), meaning Deere widely missed the mark.
Hit by the ongoing U.S. - China trade war, Deere's earnings got dented by higher transportation and material costs. Prudent cost management and effective price actions have somewhat helped the company to stage a recovery, but not to the extent the street was hoping for.
Unfortunately for Deers, tariffs have affected the manufacture of tractors, harvesters and other farm equipment, as well as equipment for forestry and construction. Tariffs have raised the cost of steel which is a key raw material in DE’s machines, thus worsening the situation for the company. Additionally, the company also had to contend with rising freight and logistics costs owing to truck driver shortage, which again took a toll on profitability.
DE sees its 50-day moving average cross bearishly below its 200-day moving average
The 50-day moving average for DE moved below the 200-day moving average on October 13, 2025. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on September 19, 2025. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on DE as a result. In of 85 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for DE turned negative on October 10, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 44 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 44 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where DE declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator for DE entered a downward trend on October 14, 2025. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where DE's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, of 23 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 1 day, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where DE advanced for three days, in of 330 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
DE may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 73, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (4.810) is normal, around the industry mean (3.279). P/E Ratio (23.392) is within average values for comparable stocks, (19.096). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.517) is also within normal values, averaging (2.939). Dividend Yield (0.014) settles around the average of (0.027) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (2.811) is also within normal values, averaging (143.489).
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. DE’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
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General Information
a manufacturer of agricultural, industrial, commercial and consumer equipment
Industry TrucksConstructionFarmMachinery
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