Deere (DE) Slumps as Earnings and Sales Miss Estimates
Shares of the Illinois-based agricultural, construction and forestry machinery manufacturer, Deere & Company (DE), fell by ~5% even before the opening on Wednesday.
The stock dropped below its 50-day trend-line once again this week, after the company reported weaker-than-expected earnings and sales for its fiscal fourth quarter.
DE reported a net income of $748 million, or $2.30 per share, excluding adjustments, for the fourth-quarter while revenue stood at $8.34 billion (+18%). However, analysts estimated an earnings per share of $2.43 and revenue of $8.594 billion (+21%), meaning Deere widely missed the mark.
Hit by the ongoing U.S. - China trade war, Deere's earnings got dented by higher transportation and material costs. Prudent cost management and effective price actions have somewhat helped the company to stage a recovery, but not to the extent the street was hoping for.
Unfortunately for Deers, tariffs have affected the manufacture of tractors, harvesters and other farm equipment, as well as equipment for forestry and construction. Tariffs have raised the cost of steel which is a key raw material in DE’s machines, thus worsening the situation for the company. Additionally, the company also had to contend with rising freight and logistics costs owing to truck driver shortage, which again took a toll on profitability.
DE's MACD Histogram just turned positive
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for DE turned positive on August 21, 2026. Looking at past instances where DE's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 31 of 42 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 74%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on August 20, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on DE as a result. In 51 of 83 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 61%.
DE moved above its 50-day moving average on August 20, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
Following a +6.64% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where DE advanced for three days, in 195 of 329 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 59%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for DE moved out of overbought territory on September 08, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 33 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 21 of the 33 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 64%.
The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 35 of 65 cases where DE's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 54%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where DE declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 57%.
DE broke above its upper Bollinger Band on September 02, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 12 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 16 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating outstanding price growth. DE’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 18 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 80, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 49 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 65 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: DE's P/B Ratio (6.510) is slightly higher than the industry average of (2.725). P/E Ratio (37.562) is within average values for comparable stocks, (36.938). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.568) is also within normal values, averaging (1.601). Dividend Yield (0.010) settles around the average of (0.014) among similar stocks. DE's P/S Ratio (3.905) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (1.156).
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General Information
a manufacturer of agricultural, industrial, commercial and consumer equipment
Industry TrucksConstructionFarmMachinery
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