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published in Blogs
Nov 21, 2018
Deere (DE) Slumps as Earnings and Sales Miss Estimates

Deere (DE) Slumps as Earnings and Sales Miss Estimates

Shares of the Illinois-based agricultural, construction and forestry machinery manufacturer, Deere & Company (DE), fell by ~5% even before the opening on Wednesday.

The stock dropped below its 50-day trend-line once again this week, after the company reported weaker-than-expected earnings and sales for its fiscal fourth quarter.

DE reported a net income of $748 million, or $2.30 per share, excluding adjustments, for the fourth-quarter while revenue stood at $8.34 billion (+18%). However, analysts estimated an earnings per share of $2.43 and revenue of $8.594 billion (+21%), meaning Deere widely missed the mark.

Hit by the ongoing U.S. - China trade war, Deere's earnings got dented by higher transportation and material costs. Prudent cost management and effective price actions have somewhat helped the company to stage a recovery, but not to the extent the street was hoping for.

Unfortunately for Deers, tariffs have affected the manufacture of tractors, harvesters and other farm equipment, as well as equipment for forestry and construction. Tariffs have raised the cost of steel which is a key raw material in DE’s machines, thus worsening the situation for the company. Additionally, the company also had to contend with rising freight and logistics costs owing to truck driver shortage, which again took a toll on profitability.

Related Ticker: DE

DE's Stochastic Oscillator is remaining in oversold zone for 2 days

Be on the lookout for a price bounce soon.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The 50-day moving average for DE moved above the 200-day moving average on January 29, 2026. This could be a long-term bullish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an upward trend.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where DE advanced for three days, in of 334 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 184 cases where DE Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for DE moved out of overbought territory on February 25, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 30 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 30 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on March 05, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on DE as a result. In of 89 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for DE turned negative on February 27, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 44 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 44 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where DE declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

DE broke above its upper Bollinger Band on February 19, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating outstanding price growth. DE’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 76, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: DE's P/B Ratio (6.068) is slightly higher than the industry average of (2.470). P/E Ratio (33.316) is within average values for comparable stocks, (27.026). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.775) is also within normal values, averaging (2.454). Dividend Yield (0.011) settles around the average of (0.024) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (3.504) is also within normal values, averaging (2.789).

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Caterpillar (NYSE:CAT), Deere & Company (NYSE:DE).

Industry description

The industry designs and builds agricultural, construction and other large commercial and transportation equipment. Tractors, planters and harvesters, as well as rock-crushing, railroad, demolition and other construction implements are produced by this industry. Rapid urbanization and industrialization has been bolstering the expansion of the construction sector in the past few decades, thereby boosting demand for heavy equipment businesses. Caterpillar Inc., Deere & Company and Cummins Inc (Ex. Cummins Engine Inc) are some prominent companies in this industry.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Trucks/Construction/Farm Machinery Industry is 21.7B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 223.29K to 328.53B. CAT holds the highest valuation in this group at 328.53B. The lowest valued company is OSRS at 223.29K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Trucks/Construction/Farm Machinery Industry was -5%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -1%, and the average quarterly price growth was 6%. CLEV experienced the highest price growth at 56%, while ALG experienced the biggest fall at -21%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Trucks/Construction/Farm Machinery Industry was 224%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -48% and the average quarterly volume growth was -34%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 44
P/E Growth Rating: 38
Price Growth Rating: 52
SMR Rating: 63
Profit Risk Rating: 75
Seasonality Score: -33 (-100 ... +100)
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DE
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published price charts
These past five trading days, the stock lost 0.00% with an average daily volume of 0 shares traded.The stock tracked a drawdown of 0% for this period. DE showed earnings on February 19, 2026. You can read more about the earnings report here.
A.I. Advisor
published General Information

General Information

a manufacturer of agricultural, industrial, commercial and consumer equipment

Industry TrucksConstructionFarmMachinery

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Trucks Or Construction Or Farm Machinery
Address
One John Deere Place
Phone
+1 309 765-8000
Employees
83000
Web
https://www.deere.com
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