Disney (DIS, $128.86) gets earnings outlook cut from J.P. Morgan, on Fox assets costs and streaming spend
Disney got a lowered earnings outlook from a J.P. Morgan analyst, on costs related to streaming and integration of the Fox assets that it acquired this year.
Analyst Alexia Quadrani reduced her fourth-quarter earnings estimate to 95 cents a share from $1.05, and also cut her fiscal 2020 estimate to $5.50 from $6.30 on the entertainment company's shares.
However, Quadrani affirmed her overweight rating on the stock. Her December 2020 price target of $150 is the same as the firm's December 2019 price target.
Disney’s substantial spending on its new video streaming platform Disney+, coupled with costs involved in integrating Fox entertainment assets have put the stock at a vulnerable place in the near-term, according to J.P. Morgan. Disney bought several Fox assets, for $71 billion. It is planning to expand its direct-to-consumer offering as it launches Disney+ in November. The company said it would offer a limited-time three-year discounted subscription (which would be about $4 per month).
DIS in +2.13% Uptrend, rising for three consecutive days on October 14, 2024
Moving higher for three straight days is viewed as a bullish sign. Keep an eye on this stock for future growth. Considering data from situations where DIS advanced for three days, in of 275 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 15, 2024. You may want to consider a long position or call options on DIS as a result. In of 91 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 157 cases where DIS Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for DIS moved out of overbought territory on October 01, 2024. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 26 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 26 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .
The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 54 cases where DIS's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for DIS turned negative on October 25, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 45 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 45 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where DIS declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.213) is normal, around the industry mean (5.952). P/E Ratio (74.558) is within average values for comparable stocks, (90.982). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.871) is also within normal values, averaging (2.987). Dividend Yield (0.002) settles around the average of (0.039) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (2.503) is also within normal values, averaging (30.667).
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. DIS’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. DIS’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 86, placing this stock worse than average.
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General Information
an operator of amusement parks, hotels, television stations and radio broadcasting stations
Industry MoviesEntertainment