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Serhii Bondarenko's Avatar
published in Blogs
Aug 01, 2023

E-Commerce Businesses Surge: A 7.72% Increase Last Week - $FDX $GIC $BZUN

The e-commerce sector, a cornerstone of the digital economy, has been experiencing a significant financial upswing. Last week, e-commerce businesses saw a remarkable 7.72% increase, a trend that is expected to continue, backed by the 15 Indicator and the Stock Fear & Greed Index. This article will delve into the financial analysis of these businesses, focusing on stock performance, market capitalization, and notable companies within the group.

The ticker BZUN is being traded using the AI Robot Swing Trader, Long Only: Growth Model (Diversified)

Positive Outlook and Stock Performance

The e-commerce industry's stocks have a positive outlook today. Tickeron predicts a further increase of more than 4.00% within the next month with a likelihood of 48%. During the last month, the daily ratio of advancing to declining volumes was 1.54 to 1, indicating a bullish trend.

Two stocks in the group of tickers confirmed the positive outlook based on the MA50MA10 indicator with average odds of 85%. These stocks are part of the group that includes notable companies such as PDD Holdings (NASDAQ:PDD), Shopify (NYSE:SHOP), FedEx Corp (NYSE:FDX), and Baozun (NASDAQ:BZUN).

Market Capitalization

The average market capitalization across the group is 31.1B, with individual market caps ranging from 254.5M to 118.7B. PDD Holdings (NASDAQ:PDD) holds the highest valuation in this group at 118.7B, while the lowest valued company is RSI at 254.5M.

Price and Volume Growth

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the group was 6.87%. For the same group, the average monthly price growth was 12.32%, and the average quarterly price growth was 21.11%. BZUN experienced the highest price growth at 23.41%, while QRTEB experienced the biggest fall at -2.14%.

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the group was 13.34%. For the same stocks of the group, the average monthly volume growth was 23.67% and the average quarterly volume growth was 19.74%.

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows:

  • Valuation Rating: 63
  • P/E Growth Rating: 54
  • Price Growth Rating: 37
  • SMR Rating: 75
  • Profit Risk Rating: 84
  • Seasonality Score: 2 (-100 ... +100)

E-Commerce Industry Overview

The e-commerce industry, which makes up around 10% of all U.S. retail revenue, has been among the most revolutionary changes brought by the rise of the World Wide Web. The sector can be divided into multiple categories: direct sellers, marketplaces, software providers, and logistics. Global expansion brought on by technology has made online shopping more accessible than ever, and reports peg the sector for even more growth.

The e-commerce industry's financial performance has been impressive, with a 7.72% increase last week. The positive outlook, backed by the 15 Indicator and the Stock Fear & Greed Index, suggests that this trend is likely to continue. 

FDX's MACD Turns Positive: A Potential Upward Trend

FedEx Corp (FDX), a major player in the logistics industry, has recently seen a significant shift in its Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator. On July 28, 2023, the MACD for FDX turned positive, suggesting a potential upward trend for the stock.

The MACD is a trend-following momentum indicator that shows the relationship between two moving averages of a security's price. When the MACD crosses above the signal line, it gives a bullish signal, indicating that it may be an optimal time to buy.

Historical data further supports this potential bullish outlook. In 40 of 50 instances where FDX's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise over the following month. This represents an 80% probability of a continued upward trend, suggesting a high likelihood of a bullish trend.

Investors should closely monitor FDX in light of this development. However, as with all investments, it's crucial to consider other market factors and conduct comprehensive research before making any decisions.

The recent positive shift in FDX's MACD could signal a new upward trend. With an 80% chance of a move higher based on historical data, investors should consider this a potentially favorable time to invest in FDX.

BZUN's Bullish Trend: 10-Day Moving Average Surpasses 50-Day Average

Baozun Inc. (BZUN), a prominent player in the e-commerce industry, has recently experienced a significant shift in its moving averages. On July 19, 2023, BZUN's 10-day Moving Average crossed bullishly above its 50-day moving average. This shift indicates a potential upward trend and could be considered a buy signal for investors.

Moving averages are commonly used indicators in technical analysis that help smooth out price action by filtering out the “noise” from random short-term price fluctuations. When a shorter-term moving average crosses above a longer-term moving average, it generates a bullish signal.

Historical data further supports this potential bullish outlook. In 9 of 10 past instances when BZUN's 10-day Moving Average crossed above its 50-day Moving Average, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. This represents a 90% probability of a continued upward trend, suggesting a high likelihood of a bullish trend.

Investors should closely monitor BZUN in light of this development. However, as with all investments, it's crucial to consider other market factors and conduct comprehensive research before making any decisions.

The recent bullish crossover in BZUN's moving averages could signal a new upward trend. With a 90% chance of a continued upward move based on historical data, investors should consider this a potentially favorable time to invest in BZUN.

PDD's Bullish Streak: A 6.23% Uptrend Over Three Consecutive Days

Pinduoduo Inc. (PDD), a leading player in the Chinese e-commerce market, has recently experienced a significant uptrend. As of July 28, 2023, PDD has seen a 6.23% uptrend, growing for three consecutive days. This consistent growth is generally viewed as a bullish sign in the stock market, indicating potential future growth for the stock.

The concept of three consecutive days of growth is often used in technical analysis as a bullish signal. It suggests that the stock has strong momentum and could continue to rise in the short term.

Historical data further supports this potential bullish outlook. In 253 of 305 instances where PDD advanced for three days, the stock price rose further within the following month. This represents an 83% probability of a continued upward trend, suggesting a high likelihood of a bullish trend.

Investors should closely monitor PDD in light of this development. However, as with all investments, it's crucial to consider other market factors and conduct comprehensive research before making any decisions.

In conclusion, the recent positive shift in PDD's performance could signal a new upward trend. With an 83% chance of a continued upward move based on historical data, investors should consider this a potentially favorable time to invest in PDD.

 

Related Ticker: QVCGB, BZUN, SHOP, EVLV, IAC, PDD, FDX, RSI, GIC

QVCGB in downward trend: 10-day moving average crossed below 50-day moving average on April 17, 2025

The 10-day moving average for QVCGB crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on April 17, 2025. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 15 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 45 cases where QVCGB's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where QVCGB declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

QVCGB broke above its upper Bollinger Band on May 07, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on May 05, 2025. You may want to consider a long position or call options on QVCGB as a result. In of 111 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for QVCGB just turned positive on May 06, 2025. Looking at past instances where QVCGB's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 58 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

QVCGB moved above its 50-day moving average on May 07, 2025 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

Following a +2 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where QVCGB advanced for three days, in of 166 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. QVCGB’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (10.060) is normal, around the industry mean (4.336). P/E Ratio (0.000) is within average values for comparable stocks, (46.564). QVCGB's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is slightly lower than the industry average of (1.559). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.051) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.253) is also within normal values, averaging (5.211).

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. QVCGB’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 89, placing this stock worse than average.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Amazon.com (NASDAQ:AMZN), Alibaba Group Holding Limited (NYSE:BABA), PDD Holdings (NASDAQ:PDD), JD.com (NASDAQ:JD), eBay (NASDAQ:EBAY), Chewy (NYSE:CHWY), Vipshop Holdings Limited (NYSE:VIPS), Just Eat Takeaway.com N.V. (OTC:JTKWY), Wayfair (NYSE:W), Revolve Group (NYSE:RVLV).

Industry description

The internet retail industry includes companies that sell products and services through the Internet. With more and more consumers using online retailers, the companies have seen a big increase in the use of their services. Some of the companies in the group are focused on selling business-to-business products and services. Others sell business-to-consumer products and services. Internet retailers offer a wide variety of products like books, apparel, and electronics. Some companies even specialize in only one or two categories. One potentially critical factor for players to thrive in this space is the quality and speed of product delivery. This requires an investment in efficient distribution networks. Things like logistics are important factors in the success in the extremely competitive industry. For a company to stay relevant in the industry it must have effective pricing strategies and upgraded websites. The websites must be easy to navigate and engaging for customers. In addition to the revenues generated from straight sales, internet retailers can generate revenue from subscription fees and advertising. Amazon.com, Inc., Alibaba Group, and JD.com are some of the global leaders.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Internet Retail Industry is 41.11B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 622 to 2.05T. AMZN holds the highest valuation in this group at 2.05T. The lowest valued company is RBZHF at 622.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Internet Retail Industry was 5%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 9%, and the average quarterly price growth was 6%. WBUY experienced the highest price growth at 219%, while AAQL experienced the biggest fall at -64%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Internet Retail Industry was -17%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -59% and the average quarterly volume growth was -52%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 59
P/E Growth Rating: 63
Price Growth Rating: 56
SMR Rating: 74
Profit Risk Rating: 89
Seasonality Score: 14 (-100 ... +100)
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a company which owns interests in subsidiaries and other companies which are primarily engaged in the video and on-line commerce industries

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