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Aug 10, 2020
Eastman Kodak's (KODK, $14.88) shares plummet, after $765 million loan gets blocked

Eastman Kodak's (KODK, $14.88) shares plummet, after $765 million loan gets blocked

Shares of Eastman Kodak Co. fell about -40%, after the U.S. government blocked a $765 million loan to the company.

The U.S. International Development Finance Corp (DFC) was planning to make the loan to the technology and pharmaceutical company.The loan was supposed to be going towards making drug ingredients for use in possible COVID-19 vaccines. But the loan was blocked  because of “alleged wrongdoing” by executives. Democratic lawmakers asked federal regulators to investigate securities transactions made by the company and its executives.

“Recent allegations of wrongdoing raise serious concerns,” U.S. International Development Finance Corp (DFC) tweeted on Friday.

Tickeron's analysis of KODK:

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Indicator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 3 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an uptrend is expected.

The Momentum Indicator exceeded the 0 level on July 21, 2020. Traders may consider buying the ticker or exploring call options. In 73 of 102 cases where the ticker's Momentum Indicator exceeded 0, its price rose further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 72%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) just turned positive. Considering data from situations where KODK's MACD histogram became positive, in 27 of 35 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 77%.

The price moved above its 50-day Moving Average, which indicates a change from a Downtrend to an Uptrend. In 25 of 39 similar backtested cases where KODK's price crossed above its 50-day Moving Average, its price rose further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 64%.

The 10-day Moving Average for this ticker crossed above its 50-day Moving Average on July 28, 2020, which can be construed as a buy signal, indicating that the trend is shifting higher. In 11 of 15 similar cases where KODK's 10-day Moving Average crossed above its 50-day Moving Average, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 73%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator appears to be shifting from an Uptrend to a Downtrend. In 20 of 26 cases where KODK's RSI indicator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued Downtrend are 77%.

The higher Bollinger Band was broken -- a price fall is expected as the ticker heads toward the middle band, which invites the trader to consider selling or shorting the ticker, or exploring put options. In 29 of 37 cases where KODK's price broke its higher Bollinger Band, its price dropped further during the following month. The odds of a continued Downtrend are 78%.

The Aroon Indicator entered a Downtrend today. In 218 of 248 cases where KODK Aroon's Indicator entered a Downtrend, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued Downtrend are 88%.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Tickeron has a negative outlook on this ticker and predicts a further decline by more than 4.00% within the next month with a likelihood of 54%. During the last month, the daily ratio of advancing to declining volumes was 2.04 to 1.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 9 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: KODK's P/B Ratio (-26.01) is very low in comparison to the industry average of (2.61). P/E Ratio (1.40) is within average values for comparable stocks, (112.29). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.02) is also within normal values, averaging (2.38). Dividend Yield (0.00) settles around the average of (0.19) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.06) is also within normal values, averaging (4.43).

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 13 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 34 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. KODK’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. KODK’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 71, placing this stock worse than average.

Related Ticker: KODK

Contributor

Sergey Savastiouk, Ph.D. has a degree in Applied Mathematics from Moscow University and has extensive experience as an entrepreneur, investor, manager, and mathematician. His professional expertise is in applied mathematics, mathematical modeling, system and pattern analysis, and software and hardware system integration. He has served as the CEO of several hi-tech start-up companies and nonprofit organizations, which has given him proven capabilities in business strategy for high-tech start-up companies, market assessment, company formation, team building, product development, marketing, and sales. He has published numerous articles in journals and magazines on related fields. As a retail investor, he spent 15 years developing his proprietary trading and quantitative algorithms (now Tickeron’s A.I.), which brought him significant returns in trading the stock market. His current work and goal in founding Tickeron is to bring professional, sophisticated stock market analysis capabilities to retail investors via an easy-to-use interface.


Aroon Indicator for KODK shows an upward move is likely

KODK's Aroon Indicator triggered a bullish signal on August 21, 2026. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor detected that the AroonUp green line is above 70 while the AroonDown red line is below 30. When the up indicator moves above 70 and the down indicator remains below 30, it is a sign that the stock could be setting up for a bullish move. Traders may want to buy the stock or look to buy calls options. A.I.dvisor looked at 155 similar instances where the Aroon Indicator showed a similar pattern. In of the 155 cases, the stock moved higher in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a move higher at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. of 65 cases where KODK's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

KODK moved above its 50-day moving average on September 02, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

The 10-day moving average for KODK crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on August 10, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 17 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where KODK advanced for three days, in of 273 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

KODK may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for KODK moved out of overbought territory on August 13, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 36 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 36 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on August 21, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on KODK as a result. In of 90 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for KODK turned negative on August 24, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 48 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 48 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

The 50-day moving average for KODK moved below the 200-day moving average on August 25, 2026. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where KODK declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. KODK’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.458) is normal, around the industry mean (7.964). P/E Ratio (14.125) is within average values for comparable stocks, (63.205). KODK's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is slightly lower than the industry average of (1.481). KODK has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.022). P/S Ratio (0.780) is also within normal values, averaging (9.327).

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. KODK’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 84, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

Industry description

The industry produces equipment regularly used in offices by businesses and other organizations, and could range from items like Blank sheet paper, calendars, Label and adhesive paper, paper clips, janitorial supplies, to larger /higher cost products like computers, printers, photocopiers, office furniture and so on. Many businesses in the office supply industry have been expanding into related markets like business cards, plus printing and binding of high quality, high volume business and engineering documents. Some companies in this industry also offer shipping services, including packaging and bulk mailing. Herman Miller, Inc., Steelcase Inc. and HNI Corporation.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Office Equipment/Supplies Industry is 7.43B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 359.74K to 89.97B. MCHSF holds the highest valuation in this group at 89.97B. The lowest valued company is JFIL at 359.74K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Office Equipment/Supplies Industry was 0%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 2%, and the average quarterly price growth was 9%. SST experienced the highest price growth at 76%, while ANPA experienced the biggest fall at -16%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Office Equipment/Supplies Industry was 14%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -5% and the average quarterly volume growth was -43%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 54
P/E Growth Rating: 53
Price Growth Rating: 54
SMR Rating: 73
Profit Risk Rating: 84
Seasonality Score: -33 (-100 ... +100)
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General Information

a manufacturer of imaging products, including photographic film and digital cameras

Industry OfficeEquipmentSupplies

Profile
Details
Industry
Electronic Equipment Or Instruments
Address
343 State Street
Phone
+1 800 356-3259
Employees
3500
Web
https://www.kodak.com
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83.97% Win Rate | 87.10% Annualized Return | $44,879.15 Total Net Profit | Profit Factor: 4.92 | Sharpe Ratio: 1.13
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