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published in Blogs
Aug 10, 2020

Eastman Kodak's (KODK, $14.88) shares plummet, after $765 million loan gets blocked

Shares of Eastman Kodak Co. fell about -40%, after the U.S. government blocked a $765 million loan to the company.

The U.S. International Development Finance Corp (DFC) was planning to make the loan to the technology and pharmaceutical company.The loan was supposed to be going towards making drug ingredients for use in possible COVID-19 vaccines. But the loan was blocked  because of “alleged wrongdoing” by executives. Democratic lawmakers asked federal regulators to investigate securities transactions made by the company and its executives.

“Recent allegations of wrongdoing raise serious concerns,” U.S. International Development Finance Corp (DFC) tweeted on Friday.

Tickeron's analysis of KODK:

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Indicator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 3 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an uptrend is expected.

The Momentum Indicator exceeded the 0 level on July 21, 2020. Traders may consider buying the ticker or exploring call options. In 73 of 102 cases where the ticker's Momentum Indicator exceeded 0, its price rose further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 72%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) just turned positive. Considering data from situations where KODK's MACD histogram became positive, in 27 of 35 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 77%.

The price moved above its 50-day Moving Average, which indicates a change from a Downtrend to an Uptrend. In 25 of 39 similar backtested cases where KODK's price crossed above its 50-day Moving Average, its price rose further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 64%.

The 10-day Moving Average for this ticker crossed above its 50-day Moving Average on July 28, 2020, which can be construed as a buy signal, indicating that the trend is shifting higher. In 11 of 15 similar cases where KODK's 10-day Moving Average crossed above its 50-day Moving Average, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 73%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator appears to be shifting from an Uptrend to a Downtrend. In 20 of 26 cases where KODK's RSI indicator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued Downtrend are 77%.

The higher Bollinger Band was broken -- a price fall is expected as the ticker heads toward the middle band, which invites the trader to consider selling or shorting the ticker, or exploring put options. In 29 of 37 cases where KODK's price broke its higher Bollinger Band, its price dropped further during the following month. The odds of a continued Downtrend are 78%.

The Aroon Indicator entered a Downtrend today. In 218 of 248 cases where KODK Aroon's Indicator entered a Downtrend, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued Downtrend are 88%.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Tickeron has a negative outlook on this ticker and predicts a further decline by more than 4.00% within the next month with a likelihood of 54%. During the last month, the daily ratio of advancing to declining volumes was 2.04 to 1.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 9 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: KODK's P/B Ratio (-26.01) is very low in comparison to the industry average of (2.61). P/E Ratio (1.40) is within average values for comparable stocks, (112.29). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.02) is also within normal values, averaging (2.38). Dividend Yield (0.00) settles around the average of (0.19) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.06) is also within normal values, averaging (4.43).

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 13 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 34 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. KODK’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. KODK’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 71, placing this stock worse than average.

Related Ticker: KODK

KODK in downward trend: price expected to drop as it breaks its higher Bollinger Band on May 14, 2024

KODK broke above its upper Bollinger Band on May 14, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 39 similar instances where the stock broke above the upper band. In of the 39 cases the stock fell afterwards. This puts the odds of success at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 44 cases where KODK's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where KODK declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on May 08, 2024. You may want to consider a long position or call options on KODK as a result. In of 82 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for KODK just turned positive on May 06, 2024. Looking at past instances where KODK's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 42 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

KODK moved above its 50-day moving average on May 14, 2024 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

The 10-day moving average for KODK crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on May 17, 2024. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 21 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where KODK advanced for three days, in of 244 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 119 cases where KODK Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Fear & Greed

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. KODK’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.416) is normal, around the industry mean (75.949). P/E Ratio (7.239) is within average values for comparable stocks, (82.838). KODK's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is slightly lower than the industry average of (1.702). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.054) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.393) is also within normal values, averaging (33.587).

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. KODK’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 81, placing this stock worse than average.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are TAL Education Group (NYSE:TAL), 2U (NASDAQ:TWOU).

Industry description

The sector produces general business services, and are not classified elsewhere. For example, FleetCor Technologies provides fuel cards and workforce payment products and services; Copart, Inc. provides online vehicle auction and remarketing services across various nations; Equifax Inc. collects and aggregates credit information on consumers and businesses worldwide, along with selling credit monitoring and fraud-prevention services. Many of the companies in this category have multi-billion market capitalizations.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Miscellaneous Commercial Services Industry is 4.71B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 788 to 80.94B. RELX holds the highest valuation in this group at 80.94B. The lowest valued company is EVSV at 788.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Miscellaneous Commercial Services Industry was 0%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 8%, and the average quarterly price growth was 19%. BRWC experienced the highest price growth at 70%, while GV experienced the biggest fall at -60%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Miscellaneous Commercial Services Industry was 22%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -3% and the average quarterly volume growth was 167%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 50
P/E Growth Rating: 64
Price Growth Rating: 57
SMR Rating: 79
Profit Risk Rating: 80
Seasonality Score: 20 (-100 ... +100)
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KODKDaily Signal changed days agoGain/Loss if shorted
 
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A.I.Advisor
published price charts
A.I. Advisor
published General Information

General Information

a manufacturer of imaging products, including photographic film and digital cameras

Industry MiscellaneousCommercialServices

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Electronic Equipment Or Instruments
Address
343 State Street
Phone
+1 800 356-3259
Employees
4000
Web
https://www.kodak.com
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