Emerging Market Currency Roil Deepens While Dollar Extends Gains
Emerging market currencies are getting crushed even as the rally in U.S. dollar continues to firm up.
Declining for the fifth time in six days, the MSCI Emerging Markets Currency Index plunged to its lowest level in more than a year. The rand, lira, Argentine peso among other currencies extend declines amidst their respective domestic economic chaos - including South Africa’s land-reform bill, Turkey’s high inflation concerns and Argentina's fiscal uncertainties .
The U.S. dollar, on the other hand, rose for the fourth day, in a rising interest rate environment and following U.S. President Donald Trump’s threats to impose tariffs on an additional $200 billion on imported Chinese goods by Thursday.
EEM's MACD Histogram just turned positive
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for EEM turned positive on September 08, 2025. Looking at past instances where EEM's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 47 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on September 03, 2025. You may want to consider a long position or call options on EEM as a result. In of 78 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where EEM advanced for three days, in of 327 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 237 cases where EEM Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
Bearish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator demonstrates that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 5 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 7 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where EEM declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
EEM broke above its upper Bollinger Band on September 08, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
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