Exxon Mobil (XOM, $77.42) showcases growth plans after a disappointing Q1
After two consecutive good quarters, Exxon Mobil fell a little flat in its latest quarter, due to weak performance from its refining and chemical business.
The two main reasons for such a flat performance, according to the company, were lower than expected margins from the company’s refining and chemical business and second, the substantial downtime for maintenance in both its upstream and downstream businesses. Margins from the refining and polyethylene business in this past quarter were some of the lowest the company has seen in almost a decade.
A number of investors are of the opinion that this trend will continue over the next couple of years. The reason being Exxon plans to spend billions towards upgrading and retooling many of its refineries. Also, the industry as a whole will be going through significant changes over new emissions regulations passed by the IMO, which will drastically reduce fuel oil demand and simultaneously increase demand for ultra-low-sulfur diesel fuel.
However, some of the key highlights for the quarter include: ExxonMobil's production for the quarter stood at 3.98 million barrels of oil equivalent per day, more or less flat from the prior quarter but is up 5% compared to Q1 of 2018. The company's offshore Guyana program continues to reap even more rewards as it announced three additional discoveries in the quarter and raised the reserve estimate for the entire area to 5.5 billion barrels. The company also announced its investment and upgrading plans on several projects like Golden Pass LNG facility in Texas, Singapore Complex, and Fawley refinery in the United Kingdom among others.
XOM in upward trend: price rose above 50-day moving average on September 08, 2025
XOM moved above its 50-day moving average on September 08, 2025 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend. In of 45 similar past instances, the stock price increased further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. of 63 cases where XOM's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for XOM just turned positive on September 16, 2025. Looking at past instances where XOM's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 47 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The 10-day moving average for XOM crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on August 28, 2025. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 14 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where XOM advanced for three days, in of 352 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 299 cases where XOM Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for XOM moved out of overbought territory on September 03, 2025. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 45 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 45 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on September 11, 2025. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on XOM as a result. In of 93 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
XOM broke above its upper Bollinger Band on August 21, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 56, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. XOM’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.862) is normal, around the industry mean (1.212). P/E Ratio (16.290) is within average values for comparable stocks, (23.754). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.644) is also within normal values, averaging (2.099). Dividend Yield (0.034) settles around the average of (0.068) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.530) is also within normal values, averaging (0.944).
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General Information
a distributer of crude oil, natural gas and petroleum products
Industry IntegratedOil
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