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May 01, 2022

Exxon Mobil (XOM, $85.15) doubles profit, but misses expectations

Exxon Mobil Corp.  doubled its first-quarter per-share profit, However, they missed the  Street expectations, even excluding a $3.4 billion writedown from its withdrawal from Russia.

The company’s said net income rose to $5.48 billion, or $1.28 per share, in the three months ended March 31, compared with $2.73 billion, or 64 cents per share, last year.

Adjusted earnings per share in the quarter were  $2.07, vs. Refinitiv consensus for $2.12 a share.  Revenue was $90.5 billion, below the $92.7 billion consensus.

Exxon’s refining division’s results weakened from the previous quarter, with earnings of $332 million, compared with $1.5 billion in the fourth quarter. According to the company, sharp rise in prices led to a cost of $1.3 billion of "negative timing impacts," including $760 million in mark-to-market effects on open derivatives positions.

Exxon's output of crude and other liquids including bitumen and synthetic oil fell -5% from the prior quarter to 2.3 million barrels per day. Natural gas production fell by -1.5%.

Related Ticker: XOM

Momentum Indicator for XOM turns positive, indicating new upward trend

XOM saw its Momentum Indicator move above the 0 level on November 07, 2025. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new upward move. Traders may want to consider buying the stock or buying call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 91 similar instances where the indicator turned positive. In of the 91 cases, the stock moved higher in the following days. The odds of a move higher are at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for XOM just turned positive on November 07, 2025. Looking at past instances where XOM's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 48 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

XOM moved above its 50-day moving average on October 17, 2025 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where XOM advanced for three days, in of 367 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 297 cases where XOM Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for XOM moved out of overbought territory on November 12, 2025. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 44 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 44 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .

The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 69 cases where XOM's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where XOM declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

XOM broke above its upper Bollinger Band on November 10, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 51, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating outstanding price growth. XOM’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.894) is normal, around the industry mean (1.282). P/E Ratio (17.009) is within average values for comparable stocks, (17.920). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.760) is also within normal values, averaging (1.833). Dividend Yield (0.034) settles around the average of (0.067) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.567) is also within normal values, averaging (0.960).

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Exxon Mobil Corp (NYSE:XOM), Chevron Corp (NYSE:CVX), BP plc (NYSE:BP), Petroleo Brasileiro Sa-Petrobras ADS (REP 1 Common Share) (NYSE:PBR), Suncor Energy (NYSE:SU), YPF Sociedad Anonima (NYSE:YPF).

Industry description

Integrated oil companies are involved across nearly the entire oil value chain – from upstream operations like exploration and production, to downstream functions of refining and marketing. Exxon Mobil Corporation, Chevron Corporation and BP are major integrated oil companies. Their bottom lines’ response to crude oil prices could depend on the proportion of upstream vs. downstream businesses; for example, if a company has substantial downstream business, the adverse impact on their upstream business due to falling crude prices could be mitigated by benefits to its downstream business.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Integrated Oil Industry is 61.65B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 39.76K to 493.47B. XOM holds the highest valuation in this group at 493.47B. The lowest valued company is PGAS at 39.76K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Integrated Oil Industry was -2%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 6%, and the average quarterly price growth was 15%. SNPMF experienced the highest price growth at 7%, while VIVK experienced the biggest fall at -31%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Integrated Oil Industry was 90%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 68% and the average quarterly volume growth was 119%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 42
P/E Growth Rating: 34
Price Growth Rating: 51
SMR Rating: 70
Profit Risk Rating: 50
Seasonality Score: 13 (-100 ... +100)
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XOM
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These past five trading days, the stock lost 0.00% with an average daily volume of 0 shares traded.The stock tracked a drawdown of 0% for this period. XOM showed earnings on October 31, 2025. You can read more about the earnings report here.
A.I. Advisor
published General Information

General Information

a distributer of crude oil, natural gas and petroleum products

Industry IntegratedOil

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Integrated Oil
Address
22777 Springwoods Village Parkway
Phone
+1 972 940-6000
Employees
61500
Web
https://www.exxonmobil.com
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