Swing Trader for Beginners: Trends in Down and Up Markets
Swing Trader for Beginners: Trading in Markets Trending Down (TA&FA) Annualized Return + 68% and Swing Trader for Beginners: Trading in Markets Trending Up (TA&FA) Annualized Return + 51%
Theme Faang +24.32% 1 Q Change
Tickers in theme Faang - $AAPL $AMZN $GOOG $META $NFLX
The strategies provided by the "Swing Trader for Beginners: Trading in Markets Trending Down (TA&FA)" and "Swing Trader for Beginners: Trading in Markets Trending Up (TA&FA)" have proven their worth, delivering an impressive annualized return of 68%.
The Emergence of the FAANG Theme
The FAANG theme, which includes $AAPL, $AMZN, $GOOG, $META, and $NFLX, has shown a significant 1Q change of +24.32%. Representing five of the most popular and best-performing American technology companies - Facebook, Amazon, Apple, Netflix, and Alphabet (Google) - these stocks have maintained a positive outlook. They are predicted to further increase by more than 4.00% within the next month, as per the Stock Fear & Greed Index provided by Tickeron.
Analyzing the FAANG Stocks
Apple Inc. ($AAPL)
Apple Inc., with the highest valuation at 3 trillion, stands as the titan of this group. Although it has recently experienced a price fall of -1.06%, Apple's mammoth market capitalization and its leadership in the tech industry secure its position as a reliable asset in the portfolio.
Alphabet Inc. ($GOOG)
Alphabet Inc., commonly known as Google, saw a drop in market cap by $42.8B. Despite this, its overall performance, fortified by its diversified revenue streams and dominant market presence, make it a significant player in the technology sector.
Netflix Inc. ($NFLX)
Netflix Inc., although holding the lowest valuation in this group at 190.4B, has demonstrated the highest price growth at 4.32%. Its prominence in the streaming industry and robust subscriber growth contribute to its potential for high returns.
FAANG’s Market Capitalization and Valuation
The average market capitalization across the FAANG theme is 1.4 trillion. The range spans from NFLX’s 190.4B to AAPL’s 3T, offering a diverse set of valuations for investors to consider based on their risk tolerance and investment goals.
Price Movements in the FAANG Group
Across the FAANG theme, the average weekly price growth was 0.68%. On a monthly basis, it was 2.45%, and on a quarterly basis, it was 31.37%. Though some stocks like Amazon.com (AMZN) and Meta Platforms (META) experienced short-term declines, these companies are often able to reverse such trends, further enhancing their investment appeal.
Volume Changes in the FAANG Stocks
An important factor to consider in this theme is volume. The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the FAANG theme was -64.49%. On a monthly and quarterly basis, the average volume growth was -14.55% and -82.51% respectively. While this does indicate a decreased trading activity, it's important to observe these trends over a longer period to draw meaningful conclusions.
Fundamental Analysis Ratings
The FAANG stocks exhibit diverse fundamental analysis ratings. The valuation rating stands at 82, indicating these stocks may be somewhat overvalued. However, the P/E growth rating is a robust 18, demonstrating solid growth prospects. The price growth rating is 56, showing moderate growth, and the SMR (Sales, Margins, ROI) rating is 47, indicating a fair performance on these financial metrics.
GOOG saw its Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) turn negative on December 30, 2024. This is a bearish signal that suggests the stock could decline going forward. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 49 instances where the indicator turned negative. In of the 49 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a downward move at .
The 10-day RSI Indicator for GOOG moved out of overbought territory on December 18, 2024. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 52 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 52 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .
The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 73 cases where GOOG's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on January 08, 2025. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on GOOG as a result. In of 89 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where GOOG declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where GOOG advanced for three days, in of 371 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 315 cases where GOOG Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 91, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. GOOG’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (6.868) is normal, around the industry mean (11.194). P/E Ratio (26.982) is within average values for comparable stocks, (48.888). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.637) is also within normal values, averaging (3.441). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.026) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (6.477) is also within normal values, averaging (19.660).
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
a holding company with interests in software, health care, transportation and other technologies
Industry InternetSoftwareServices