Falling Auto Sales in China Keep U.S. Carmakers on Edge
Declining auto sales in China has U.S. carmakers concerned, with four straight months of declines squeezing profitability in the world’s biggest car market.
According to the Chinese Association of Automobile Manufacturers, auto sales in China fell ~14% in November over the same month in 2017. Continuing a downward slide which started in July, the drop in November sales marked the steepest fall in more than six years, and it also pushed the year-to-November sales growth into negative territory for the first time since the early 1990s.
According to market analysts, a confluence of a number of factors like a slowing Chines economy, a crackdown on certain types of auto lending, change in government policy, a growing second-hand car market, and a trade war with the United States have contributed to the decline.
Despite all the gloominess, the only new positive for U.S. car markers is that not all companies have been hit equally by the Chinese downturn. Low-end vehicles got hit the most, while premium brands have continued to see growth.
F sees MACD Histogram crosses below signal line
F saw its Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) turn negative on September 04, 2025. This is a bearish signal that suggests the stock could decline going forward. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 47 instances where the indicator turned negative. In of the 47 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a downward move at .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for F moved out of overbought territory on August 28, 2025. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 38 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 38 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on September 08, 2025. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on F as a result. In of 79 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where F declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. of 69 cases where F's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where F advanced for three days, in of 321 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 271 cases where F Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating outstanding price growth. F’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.030) is normal, around the industry mean (4.168). P/E Ratio (14.949) is within average values for comparable stocks, (269.136). F's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (14.289) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (1.871). Dividend Yield (0.064) settles around the average of (0.044) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.253) is also within normal values, averaging (31.199).
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 83, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
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a manufacturer of automobiles and trucks
Industry MotorVehicles
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