Falling Auto Sales in China Keep U.S. Carmakers on Edge
Declining auto sales in China has U.S. carmakers concerned, with four straight months of declines squeezing profitability in the world’s biggest car market.
According to the Chinese Association of Automobile Manufacturers, auto sales in China fell ~14% in November over the same month in 2017. Continuing a downward slide which started in July, the drop in November sales marked the steepest fall in more than six years, and it also pushed the year-to-November sales growth into negative territory for the first time since the early 1990s.
According to market analysts, a confluence of a number of factors like a slowing Chines economy, a crackdown on certain types of auto lending, change in government policy, a growing second-hand car market, and a trade war with the United States have contributed to the decline.
Despite all the gloominess, the only new positive for U.S. car markers is that not all companies have been hit equally by the Chinese downturn. Low-end vehicles got hit the most, while premium brands have continued to see growth.
F in upward trend: price may jump up because it broke its lower Bollinger Band on November 20, 2025
F may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options. In of 41 cases where F's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, its price rose further in the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on November 28, 2025. You may want to consider a long position or call options on F as a result. In of 83 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where F advanced for three days, in of 325 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for F moved out of overbought territory on October 27, 2025. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 35 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 35 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .
The Stochastic Oscillator entered the overbought zone. Expect a price pull-back in the foreseeable future.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for F turned negative on November 17, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 47 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 47 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where F declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating outstanding price growth. F’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 83, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly better than average sales and a considerably profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.117) is normal, around the industry mean (4.140). P/E Ratio (11.350) is within average values for comparable stocks, (266.018). F's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (15.587) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (2.160). Dividend Yield (0.056) settles around the average of (0.043) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.282) is also within normal values, averaging (12.565).
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General Information
a manufacturer of automobiles and trucks
Industry MotorVehicles
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