Fed is turning dovish, according to Bloomberg survey
According to a new Bloomberg survey of economists, the Federal Reserve is likely to end the current rate-hike cycle with one more rate hike this year.
The median of responses in the March 13-15 poll predicted one rate hike in September. In December, the poll had forecasted two 2019 hikes.
The latest survey reveals that economists are expecting the current hiking cycle to top off at 2.75 percent upper-end of the target policy rate range; that figure is lower compared to the survey’s previous forecast of 3.25 percent.
The Fed left rates unchanged this month.
Contributor
Sergey Savastiouk, Ph.D. has a degree in Applied Mathematics from Moscow University and has extensive experience as an entrepreneur, investor, manager, and mathematician. His professional expertise is in applied mathematics, mathematical modeling, system and pattern analysis, and software and hardware system integration. He has served as the CEO of several hi-tech start-up companies and nonprofit organizations, which has given him proven capabilities in business strategy for high-tech start-up companies, market assessment, company formation, team building, product development, marketing, and sales. He has published numerous articles in journals and magazines on related fields. As a retail investor, he spent 15 years developing his proprietary trading and quantitative algorithms (now Tickeron’s A.I.), which brought him significant returns in trading the stock market. His current work and goal in founding Tickeron is to bring professional, sophisticated stock market analysis capabilities to retail investors via an easy-to-use interface.
Momentum Indicator for TLH turns negative, indicating new downward trend
TLH saw its Momentum Indicator move below the 0 level on September 08, 2026. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new downward move. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 83 similar instances where the indicator turned negative. In 66 of the 83 cases, the stock moved further down in the following days. The odds of a decline are at 80%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for TLH turned negative on September 23, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 44 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 31 of the 44 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 70%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where TLH declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 72%.
The Aroon Indicator for TLH entered a downward trend on October 05, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 7 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an Uptrend is expected.
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 7 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
Following a +0.68% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where TLH advanced for three days, in 197 of 298 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 66%.
TLH may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Industry description
Advertisement
General Information
Category LongGovernment
Advertisement