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Abhoy Sarkar's Avatar
published in Blogs
Mar 18, 2019

Fed is turning dovish, according to Bloomberg survey

According to a new Bloomberg survey of economists, the Federal Reserve is likely to end the current rate-hike cycle with one more rate hike this year.

The median of responses in the March 13-15 poll predicted one rate hike in September. In December, the poll had forecasted two 2019 hikes.

The latest survey reveals that economists are expecting the current hiking cycle to top off at 2.75 percent upper-end of the target policy rate range; that figure is lower compared to the survey’s previous forecast of 3.25 percent.  

The Fed left rates unchanged this month.

Related Ticker: TLH

TLH's Indicator enters downward trend

The Aroon Indicator for TLH entered a downward trend on March 01, 2024. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor identified a pattern where the AroonDown red line was above 70 while the AroonUp green line was below 30 for three straight days. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. A.I.dvisor looked at 233 similar instances where the Aroon Indicator formed such a pattern. In of the 233 cases the stock moved lower. This puts the odds of a downward move at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for TLH moved out of overbought territory on February 02, 2024. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 29 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 29 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .

The Stochastic Oscillator has been in the overbought zone for 1 day. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.

TLH moved below its 50-day moving average on February 07, 2024 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for TLH crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on February 13, 2024. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 12 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where TLH declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

TLH broke above its upper Bollinger Band on March 01, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on February 28, 2024. You may want to consider a long position or call options on TLH as a result. In of 84 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for TLH just turned positive on February 29, 2024. Looking at past instances where TLH's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 49 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where TLH advanced for three days, in of 307 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Fear & Greed

Industry description

The investment seeks to track the investment results of the ICE® U.S. Treasury 10-20 Year Bond Index. The fund will invest at least 80% of its assets in the component securities of the underlying index, and the fund will invest at least 90% of its assets in U.S. Treasury securities that the advisor believes will help the fund track the underlying index. It seeks to track the investment results of the underlying index which measures the performance of public obligations of the U.S. Treasury that have a remaining maturity of greater than or equal to ten years and less than twenty years.
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TLH and

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, TLH has been closely correlated with SPTL. These tickers have moved in lockstep 99% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if TLH jumps, then SPTL could also see price increases.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To TLH
1D Price
Change %
TLH100%
-0.32%
SPTL - TLH
99%
Closely correlated
-0.36%
VGLT - TLH
99%
Closely correlated
-0.34%
GOVI - TLH
99%
Closely correlated
-0.18%
TLT - TLH
99%
Closely correlated
-0.40%
XTEN - TLH
99%
Closely correlated
-0.19%
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