Fed makes surprise rate cut on Coronavirus risks
In a major surprise move, the Federal Reserve cut its policy rate by 50 basis points Tuesday, to combat risks from the coronavirus crisis.
Following a meeting of G-7 finance ministers and central bankers where they expressed resolve to combat risks from Coronavirus, the Fed announced its decision to lower the federal fund rate to 1-1.25%. It's the biggest rate cut since the fall of 2008 .
The Fed cited “evolving risks” to the economy due to Coronavirus crisis.
The S&P 500 spiked 37 points higher following the announcemnt, but slipped soon after. 10-year Treasury bond yields climbed to 1.103% while 2-year note yields traded at 0.78%
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Sergey Savastiouk, Ph.D. has a degree in Applied Mathematics from Moscow University and has extensive experience as an entrepreneur, investor, manager, and mathematician. His professional expertise is in applied mathematics, mathematical modeling, system and pattern analysis, and software and hardware system integration. He has served as the CEO of several hi-tech start-up companies and nonprofit organizations, which has given him proven capabilities in business strategy for high-tech start-up companies, market assessment, company formation, team building, product development, marketing, and sales. He has published numerous articles in journals and magazines on related fields. As a retail investor, he spent 15 years developing his proprietary trading and quantitative algorithms (now Tickeron’s A.I.), which brought him significant returns in trading the stock market. His current work and goal in founding Tickeron is to bring professional, sophisticated stock market analysis capabilities to retail investors via an easy-to-use interface.
Momentum Indicator for SPY turns positive, indicating new upward trend
SPY saw its Momentum Indicator move above the 0 level on September 21, 2026. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new upward move. Traders may want to consider buying the stock or buying call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 76 similar instances where the indicator turned positive. In 66 of the 76 cases, the stock moved higher in the following days. The odds of a move higher are at 87%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for SPY just turned positive on October 02, 2026. Looking at past instances where SPY's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 43 of 52 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 83%.
SPY moved above its 50-day moving average on September 17, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
Following a +1.23% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where SPY advanced for three days, in 301 of 362 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 83%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator entered the overbought zone. Expect a price pull-back in the foreseeable future.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where SPY declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 75%.
SPY broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 06, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Aroon Indicator for SPY entered a downward trend on September 21, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
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