FedEx (FDX, $161.08) shares plunge 22%, on prelim. earnings miss
FedEx stock experienced one of its steepest one-day plunges in decades. The package delivery company’s shares were down more than 22% on Friday. This follows FedEx’s preliminary first-quarter results that fell short of analyst’ expectations, while the company also indicated caution about earnings.
The company expects its fiscal-first-quarter earnings would be nearly $3.44 a share. That’s significantly below consensus estimates of $5.14 a share. The company cited weakening demand in global shipment volumes. What’s more, FedEx also withdrew its guidance for its full-year profit, citing a volatile environment.
Revenue of $23.2 billion in the quarter also missed analysts’ forecasts of $23.59 billion (based on Refinitiv poll).
The company lowered its forecast for capital expenditure for the year by $500 million to $6.3 billion.
On Thursday, FedEx CEO Raj Subramaniam indicated, in an interview with CNBC’s Jim Cramer, that he sees a global recession around the corner. “I think so. But you know, these numbers, they don’t portend very well,” Subramaniam said in response to Cramer’s question of whether the economy is “going into a worldwide recession.”
FDX sees its Stochastic Oscillator ascending out of oversold territory
On September 08, 2025, the Stochastic Oscillator for FDX moved out of oversold territory and this could be a bullish sign for the stock. Traders may want to buy the stock or buy call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 59 instances where the indicator left the oversold zone. In of the 59 cases the stock moved higher in the following days. This puts the odds of a move higher at over .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on September 16, 2025. You may want to consider a long position or call options on FDX as a result. In of 86 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for FDX just turned positive on September 12, 2025. Looking at past instances where FDX's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 53 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where FDX advanced for three days, in of 320 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Bearish Trend Analysis
FDX moved below its 50-day moving average on September 15, 2025 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for FDX crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on September 03, 2025. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 13 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where FDX declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
FDX broke above its upper Bollinger Band on August 22, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.914) is normal, around the industry mean (2.960). P/E Ratio (13.546) is within average values for comparable stocks, (111.126). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.998) is also within normal values, averaging (1.580). Dividend Yield (0.025) settles around the average of (0.029) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.629) is also within normal values, averaging (0.963).
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. FDX’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. FDX’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 88, placing this stock better than average.
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General Information
provider of a broad portfolio of transportation, e-commerce and business services under the FedEx brand
Industry OtherTransportation
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