Abhoy Sarkar's Avatar
published in Blogs
Jun 10, 2020

Five Below (FIVE, $114.71) shares get price target hikes

Five Below  got share price target hikes from  several analysts.

The discount retail company has around 90% of its stores reopened , according to its CEO CEO Joel Anderson.   The company plans to open between 100 and 120 new stores this year.

 Guggenheim boosted its share price target to $120 from $105, while maintaing its buy rating. Analyst John Heinbockel mentioned in a report that Five Below should benefit from pent-up demand and from the government’s fiscal stimulus – factors that could lead to modest sales growth in the second half of the year, according to  Heinbockel.

RBC Capital Markets analysts raised their share-price target to $115 from $102, and maintained their outperform rating. RBC  analysts indicated that despite some uncertainty over how much foot traffic Five Below will regain, pickups should boost sales, as consumers are expected to prefer contactless shopping.

FIVE enters an Uptrend as Momentum Indicator exceeded the 0 level on May 15, 2020

This indicator signals that FIVE's price has momentum to move higher, since its current price moved above its price 14 days ago. Traders may consider buying the ticker or exploring call options. In 64 of 86 cases where FIVE's Momentum Indicator exceeded 0, its price rose further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 74%.

Current price $114.71 crossed the resistance line at $114.59 and is trading between $117.69 support and $114.59 resistance lines. Throughout the month of 05/07/20 - 06/09/20, the price experienced a +17% Uptrend, while the week of 06/02/20 - 06/09/20 shows a -0.91% Downtrend.

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) just turned positive. Considering data from situations where FIVE's MACD histogram became positive, in 40 of 54 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 74%.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 226 of 325 similar cases where FIVE Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 70%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator appears to be shifting from an Uptrend to a Downtrend. In 23 of 47 cases where FIVE's RSI indicator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued Downtrend are 49%.

The Stochastic Indicator may be shifting from an Uptrend to a Downtrend. In 45 of 68 cases where FIVE's Stochastic indicator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued Downtrend are 66%.

Following a 3-day Decline, the ticker is projected to fall further. Considering data from situations where FIVE declined for three days, in 171 of 263 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Downtrend are 65%.

The higher Bollinger Band was broken -- a price fall is expected as the ticker heads toward the middle band, which invites the trader to consider selling or shorting the ticker, or exploring put options. In 19 of 40 cases where FIVE's price broke its higher Bollinger Band, its price dropped further during the following month. The odds of a continued Downtrend are 47%.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Tickeron has a negative outlook on this ticker and predicts a further decline by more than 4.00% within the next month with a likelihood of 66%. During the last month, the daily ratio of advancing to declining volumes was 1.44 to 1.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 31 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 60, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 48 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly weaker than average sales and a marginally profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 54 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. FIVE’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 84 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 87 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: FIVE's P/B Ratio (7.62) is slightly higher than the industry average of (4.27). FIVE has a moderately high P/E Ratio (33.29) as compared to the industry average of (22.43). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.13) is also within normal values, averaging (1.46). Dividend Yield (0.00) settles around the average of (1.29) among similar stocks. FIVE's P/S Ratio (3.43) is slightly higher than the industry average of (1.27).

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