Five Below (FIVE, $160.20) issues guidance below Street expectations
Five Below posted its 2022 guidance that was below consensus, leading to the its shares tumbling on Wednesday.
For the fourth quarter, the discount retail company posted diluted earnings of $2.49 a share, compared to consensus of $2.48 a share. Revenue of $996.3 million was slightly below analysts’ forecasts of $1 billion.
The company’s full-year revenue rose +45.2% to $2.85 billion. Earnings per share in the year were $4.95. Both figures were in line with analysts’ expectations.
For the fiscal first quarter of 2022, discount retail company is expecting revenue to range between $644 million and $658 million, assuming a flat to 2% decrease in comparable sales. Analysts surveyed by FactSet expect first-quarter revenue of $687 million. The company projects earnings in the range of 54 cents and 62 cents a share, vs. Wall Street consensus of 89 cents.
The outlook from the company reflected pandemic-driven delays in construction that have resulted in a shift of stores into the second half of the 2022 fiscal year and the first half of 2023. It also includes the ongoing inflationary pressures, according to the company.
Contributor
Sergey Savastiouk, Ph.D. has a degree in Applied Mathematics from Moscow University and has extensive experience as an entrepreneur, investor, manager, and mathematician. His professional expertise is in applied mathematics, mathematical modeling, system and pattern analysis, and software and hardware system integration. He has served as the CEO of several hi-tech start-up companies and nonprofit organizations, which has given him proven capabilities in business strategy for high-tech start-up companies, market assessment, company formation, team building, product development, marketing, and sales. He has published numerous articles in journals and magazines on related fields. As a retail investor, he spent 15 years developing his proprietary trading and quantitative algorithms (now Tickeron’s A.I.), which brought him significant returns in trading the stock market. His current work and goal in founding Tickeron is to bring professional, sophisticated stock market analysis capabilities to retail investors via an easy-to-use interface.
FIVE in upward trend: 10-day moving average broke above 50-day moving average on July 27, 2026
The 10-day moving average for FIVE crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on July 27, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 10 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
FIVE moved above its 50-day moving average on July 17, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where FIVE advanced for three days, in of 308 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 272 cases where FIVE Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
Bearish Trend Analysis
The RSI Oscillator demonstrated that the stock has entered the overbought zone. This may point to a price pull-back soon.
The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 53 cases where FIVE's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where FIVE declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
FIVE broke above its upper Bollinger Band on August 06, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. FIVE’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (5.984) is normal, around the industry mean (5.059). P/E Ratio (31.555) is within average values for comparable stocks, (38.427). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.984) is also within normal values, averaging (1.492). FIVE has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.030). P/S Ratio (2.737) is also within normal values, averaging (1.151).
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. FIVE’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 88, placing this stock better than average.
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General Information
a retaier of clothing and other accessories for teens
Industry SpecialtyStores
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