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Mar 24, 2021

Five Below (FIVE, $196.01) beats Q4 expectations

Retail company Five Below   reported fiscal-fourth-quarter net income that came in higher than analysts’ expectations.

For the quarter ended Jan. 30, Five Below earned $2.20 a share compared with $1.97  a share in the year-earlier quarter.  Analysts surveyed by FactSet had forecasted GAAP earnings of $2.12 a share .

Net sales reached $858.5 million from $687.1 million, while analysts’ estimates for revenue were $839.3 million.

The company’s same-store sales increased +13.8%, compared to analysts’ expectations of +10.9%.

For the first quarter, Five Below is projecting earnings of 56 to 68 cents a share, compared to the FactSet consensus estimate of 36 cents, or an adjusted 40 cents.

Five Below expects revenue at $540 million to $560 million, vs.  FactSet's forecast of $442 million. 

Joel Anderson, president and chief executive, revealed plans to open 170 to 180 new stores. The company is also boosting its distribution-center network by adding an Arizona facility this year. 

 

 

Related Ticker: FIVE

FIVE in downward trend: price dove below 50-day moving average on January 14, 2025

FIVE moved below its 50-day moving average on January 14, 2025 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 47 similar past instances, the stock price decreased further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on February 07, 2025. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on FIVE as a result. In of 77 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for FIVE turned negative on February 07, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 50 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 50 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

The 10-day moving average for FIVE crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on January 17, 2025. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 11 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where FIVE declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator for FIVE entered a downward trend on February 14, 2025. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 4 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.

The 50-day moving average for FIVE moved above the 200-day moving average on February 10, 2025. This could be a long-term bullish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an upward trend.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where FIVE advanced for three days, in of 318 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

FIVE may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. FIVE’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (6.234) is normal, around the industry mean (12.572). P/E Ratio (33.065) is within average values for comparable stocks, (36.860). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.138) is also within normal values, averaging (2.650). FIVE has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.034). P/S Ratio (2.796) is also within normal values, averaging (19.519).

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. FIVE’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 75, placing this stock worse than average.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Home Depot (NYSE:HD), Lowe's Companies (NYSE:LOW), AutoZone (NYSE:AZO), Tractor Supply Co (NASDAQ:TSCO), Ulta Beauty (NASDAQ:ULTA), Best Buy Company (NYSE:BBY), Bath & Body Works (NYSE:BBWI), Five Below (NASDAQ:FIVE), RH (NYSE:RH), Advance Auto Parts (NYSE:AAP).

Industry description

The specialty stores sector includes companies dedicated to the sale of retail products focused on a single product category, such as clothing, carpet, books, or office supplies. A specialty store could face intense competition from big-box departmental chains, and therefore offering an adequate collection of the product type it specializes in is key in maintaining/growing its market.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Specialty Stores Industry is 9.05B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 4.65K to 380.15B. HD holds the highest valuation in this group at 380.15B. The lowest valued company is SIMPQ at 4.65K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Specialty Stores Industry was 1%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 1%, and the average quarterly price growth was 1%. JZXN experienced the highest price growth at 31%, while FTEL experienced the biggest fall at -55%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Specialty Stores Industry was -12%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 30% and the average quarterly volume growth was 68%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 47
P/E Growth Rating: 51
Price Growth Rating: 57
SMR Rating: 69
Profit Risk Rating: 74
Seasonality Score: -43 (-100 ... +100)
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General Information

a retaier of clothing and other accessories for teens

Industry SpecialtyStores

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Discount Stores
Address
701 Market Street
Phone
+1 215 546-7909
Employees
22000
Web
https://www.fivebelow.com
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