Retail company Five Below reported fiscal-fourth-quarter net income that came in higher than analysts’ expectations.
For the quarter ended Jan. 30, Five Below earned $2.20 a share compared with $1.97 a share in the year-earlier quarter. Analysts surveyed by FactSet had forecasted GAAP earnings of $2.12 a share .
Net sales reached $858.5 million from $687.1 million, while analysts’ estimates for revenue were $839.3 million.
The company’s same-store sales increased +13.8%, compared to analysts’ expectations of +10.9%.
For the first quarter, Five Below is projecting earnings of 56 to 68 cents a share, compared to the FactSet consensus estimate of 36 cents, or an adjusted 40 cents.
Five Below expects revenue at $540 million to $560 million, vs. FactSet's forecast of $442 million.
Joel Anderson, president and chief executive, revealed plans to open 170 to 180 new stores. The company is also boosting its distribution-center network by adding an Arizona facility this year.
The 50-day moving average for FIVE moved below the 200-day moving average on April 22, 2024. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on March 21, 2024. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on FIVE as a result. In of 87 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
FIVE moved below its 50-day moving average on March 21, 2024 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for FIVE crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on March 27, 2024. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 11 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where FIVE declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator for FIVE entered a downward trend on April 25, 2024. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where FIVE's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, of 22 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 22 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for FIVE just turned positive on April 25, 2024. Looking at past instances where FIVE's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 55 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where FIVE advanced for three days, in of 327 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
FIVE may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. FIVE’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 77, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (6.234) is normal, around the industry mean (12.709). P/E Ratio (33.065) is within average values for comparable stocks, (35.640). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.138) is also within normal values, averaging (2.536). FIVE has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.033). P/S Ratio (2.796) is also within normal values, averaging (87.325).
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. FIVE’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
a retaier of clothing and other accessories for teens
Industry SpecialtyStores