Gap Inc. (GPS, $29.51) to separate Old Navy as a new company
Gap Inc’s shares rose 25% on Thursday after the company indicated its plans to separate its Old Navy brand, along with the closing of 230 Gap stores. 68 stores have already been shut.
The company has had mixed sales across its brands. Old Navy performed the best, as its wide range of budget apparel made it more attractive to a broader base of customers. On the other hand, Gap had a hard time catching up with the fast-fashion retailers and changing trends. This is confirmed by the fact that Old Navy has annual sales of about $8 billion, while the other brands have a combined revenue of $9 billion.
The company is also planning to boost its marketing and to develop new products for the Gap brand. However, the CEO Art Peck wants to focus more on the period-over-period improvement. Gap shares have fallen roughly 20% over the past 12 months, bringing its market cap to about $9.7 billion.
It is still undecided under which company name Gap, Athleta, Banana Republic and the remaining brands will come. The separation of Old Navy into a publicly listed company, which Gap said will be tax free to investors, is likely to be completed by 2020.
Analysts believe that the separation of Old Navy as a new company may enable a strategic focus, but this could reduce the diversification the brand provides to the overall entity.
GAP's RSI Indicator leaves overbought zone
The 10-day RSI Oscillator for GAP moved out of overbought territory on September 12, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. Traders may want to look at selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 36 instances where the indicator moved out of the overbought zone. In of the 36 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a move down at .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 50 cases where GAP's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for GAP turned negative on September 16, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 50 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 50 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where GAP declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
GAP broke above its upper Bollinger Band on September 04, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on August 12, 2025. You may want to consider a long position or call options on GAP as a result. In of 81 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
GAP moved above its 50-day moving average on August 21, 2025 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
The 10-day moving average for GAP crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on August 25, 2025. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 15 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where GAP advanced for three days, in of 283 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 207 cases where GAP Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.447) is normal, around the industry mean (7.528). P/E Ratio (9.759) is within average values for comparable stocks, (26.151). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.019) is also within normal values, averaging (2.227). Dividend Yield (0.028) settles around the average of (0.028) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.572) is also within normal values, averaging (7.459).
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. GAP’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. GAP’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 78, placing this stock better than average.
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General Information
an operator of stores that retail clothing, accessories and personal care products
Industry ApparelFootwearRetail
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