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published in Blogs
Mar 03, 2019

Gap Inc. (GPS, $29.51) to separate Old Navy as a new company

Gap Inc’s shares rose 25% on Thursday after the company indicated its plans to separate its Old Navy brand, along with the closing of 230 Gap stores. 68 stores have already been shut.

The company has had mixed sales across its brands. Old Navy performed the best, as its wide range of budget apparel made it more attractive to a broader base of customers. On the other hand, Gap had a hard time catching up with the fast-fashion retailers and changing trends. This is confirmed by the fact that Old Navy has annual sales of about $8 billion, while the other brands have a combined revenue of $9 billion.

The company is also planning to boost its marketing and to develop new products for the Gap brand. However, the CEO Art Peck wants to focus more on the period-over-period improvement. Gap shares have fallen roughly 20% over the past 12 months, bringing its market cap to about $9.7 billion.

It is still undecided under which company name Gap, Athleta, Banana Republic and the remaining brands will come. The separation of Old Navy into a publicly listed company, which Gap said will be tax free to investors, is likely to be completed by 2020.

Analysts believe that the separation of Old Navy as a new company may enable a strategic focus, but this could reduce the diversification the brand provides to the overall entity.

Related Ticker: GAP

GAP's MACD Histogram crosses above signal line

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for GAP turned positive on November 24, 2025. Looking at past instances where GAP's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 50 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on November 12, 2025. You may want to consider a long position or call options on GAP as a result. In of 76 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

GAP moved above its 50-day moving average on October 23, 2025 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

The 10-day moving average for GAP crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 27, 2025. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 15 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where GAP advanced for three days, in of 285 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 209 cases where GAP Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The RSI Oscillator demonstrated that the stock has entered the overbought zone. This may point to a price pull-back soon.

The Stochastic Oscillator entered the overbought zone. Expect a price pull-back in the foreseeable future.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where GAP declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

GAP broke above its upper Bollinger Band on November 25, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. GAP’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.706) is normal, around the industry mean (7.729). P/E Ratio (11.982) is within average values for comparable stocks, (32.877). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.264) is also within normal values, averaging (2.303). Dividend Yield (0.024) settles around the average of (0.030) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.667) is also within normal values, averaging (3.688).

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. GAP’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 77, placing this stock worse than average.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are TJX Companies (NYSE:TJX), lululemon athletica (NASDAQ:LULU), Gap Inc (The) (NYSE:GAP), Abercrombie & Fitch Co (NYSE:ANF), Guess (NYSE:GES), Stitch Fix (NASDAQ:SFIX).

Industry description

Companies in the apparel and/or footwear retail industry sell clothing, accessories and footwear, for different age groups and genders. The industry’s product categories could range from basics, such as underwear, to luxury items. Some retailers source items from wholesalers or an apparel brand to sell in their stores; some others are licensed to make and market their own retail goods under particular brands. Several companies outsource production of clothing to developing/emerging economies where labor costs are relatively inexpensive. Apparel retail is often influenced by fashion trends, and many companies feel the need to adapt to what’s “in vogue” to retain customers and attract new ones. A major disruption in this industry has been the burgeoning trend in digital shopping – to compete with rapidly growing e-commerce, even traditional retail players are upping the ante on their online platforms. Much of the products’ performance in apparel/footwear retail is cyclical, i.e., economic boom times encourage consumer spending, while recessions induce thriftiness among people. Some large-cap U.S. apparel/footwear retail companies include TJX Companies Inc., Ross Stores, Inc., Lululemon Athletica Inc. and Burlington Stores, Inc.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Apparel/Footwear Retail Industry is 16.7B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 256K to 170.65B. IDEXY holds the highest valuation in this group at 170.65B. The lowest valued company is DESTQ at 256K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Apparel/Footwear Retail Industry was 3%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -3%, and the average quarterly price growth was 23%. ANF experienced the highest price growth at 30%, while ESHDF experienced the biggest fall at -63%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Apparel/Footwear Retail Industry was 98%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 112% and the average quarterly volume growth was -3%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 54
P/E Growth Rating: 41
Price Growth Rating: 57
SMR Rating: 60
Profit Risk Rating: 77
Seasonality Score: 23 (-100 ... +100)
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These past five trading days, the stock lost 0.00% with an average daily volume of 0 shares traded.The stock tracked a drawdown of 0% for this period. GAP showed earnings on November 20, 2025. You can read more about the earnings report here.
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an operator of stores that retail clothing, accessories and personal care products

Industry ApparelFootwearRetail

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