Goldman Sachs Expects +12% Returns From Emerging Market Equities in 2019
An analysis by Goldman Sachs forecasts emerging market stocks to produce double-digit returns in 2019, after this year’s stormy patch.
The report says that developing-nation shares will probably return 12% in dollar terms next year, amidst the U.S. economy's potential expansion through 2020 and China’s fiscal stimulus. Asian stocks will outpace Latin American equities in 2019, according to the analysis.
The study expects South African rand, Colombian peso and Mexican peso to appreciate, while taking a cautious stance on the Argentine peso and the Turkish lira.
It sees value in higher-rated sovereign bonds in the Middle East and Asia.
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Sergey Savastiouk, Ph.D. has a degree in Applied Mathematics from Moscow University and has extensive experience as an entrepreneur, investor, manager, and mathematician. His professional expertise is in applied mathematics, mathematical modeling, system and pattern analysis, and software and hardware system integration. He has served as the CEO of several hi-tech start-up companies and nonprofit organizations, which has given him proven capabilities in business strategy for high-tech start-up companies, market assessment, company formation, team building, product development, marketing, and sales. He has published numerous articles in journals and magazines on related fields. As a retail investor, he spent 15 years developing his proprietary trading and quantitative algorithms (now Tickeron’s A.I.), which brought him significant returns in trading the stock market. His current work and goal in founding Tickeron is to bring professional, sophisticated stock market analysis capabilities to retail investors via an easy-to-use interface.
EEM in upward trend: 10-day moving average broke above 50-day moving average on August 20, 2026
The 10-day moving average for EEM crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on August 20, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 16 of 17 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on September 11, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on EEM as a result. In 61 of 72 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 85%.
EEM moved above its 50-day moving average on August 19, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
Following a +2.02% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where EEM advanced for three days, in 271 of 315 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 86%.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 216 of 254 cases where EEM Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 85%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 53 of 61 cases where EEM's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 87%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where EEM declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 79%.
EEM broke above its upper Bollinger Band on September 04, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
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