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Apr 23, 2019
TickeronGET DAILY SIGNALS
High confidence bullish signal on Petrobras as stock hits lower rail of channel

High confidence bullish signal on Petrobras as stock hits lower rail of channel

Brazilian oil and gas exploration company Petrobras (NYSE: PBR) generated a bullish signal on the Tickeron AI Trend Prediction tool on April 18 and that signal had a very high confidence level at 85%. Past predictions on Petrobras have been successful 69% of the time and this signal calls for a gain of at least 4% over the coming month.

The chart for Petrobras shows that the stock has been trending higher since last September with a trend channel guiding the stock through the different cycles within the overall upward trend. The stock did move above the upper rail for an extended period in October and it did move below the lower rail for a brief period in December, but for the most part, the upper and lower rails have marked the highs and lows.

We see that the stock hit the lower rail last week and did rally a little. The daily stochastic readings had reached oversold territory and they made a bullish crossover on April 18. Between the bullish signal from the Trend Prediction tool, the bullish crossover from the stochastics, and the support from the lower rail—the technical picture for Petrobras looks pretty good.

As for the fundamentals of Petrobras, they are a little mixed. The earnings grew by 132% in the most recent quarterly report, but the EPS have been flat over the last three years. Analysts do expect earnings to grow by 30% in 2019. The company is expected to announce its first quarter results on May 7.

The company’s return on equity is a little low at 9.1% and the profit margin is average at 18.8%.

Related Ticker: PBR

Contributor

Harry Richardson — Algorithmic Trader & Strategy Developer Harry is an algorithmic trader specializing in impulse and breakout trading strategies across cryptocurrency and equity markets. With more than 10 years of experience in developing automated trading systems, he focuses on building structured algorithms designed to capture momentum while maintaining strict risk control. His approach combines quantitative analysis, real-market execution, and continuous performance monitoring. Vitalii prioritizes risk management, drawdown control, and strategy stability over short-term optimization, ensuring algorithms are adaptable to changing market conditions. He has developed and tested hundreds of automated strategies, working extensively with live trading environments, forward testing, and portfolio-level algorithm management. His work centers on transforming trading ideas into fully operational, scalable automated systems.


PBR in -2.89% downward trend, sliding for three consecutive days on November 11, 2026

Moving lower for three straight days is viewed as a bearish sign. Keep an eye on this stock for future declines. Considering data from situations where PBR declined for three days, in 155 of 273 cases, the price declined further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 57%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 26, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on PBR as a result. In 38 of 71 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 54%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for PBR turned negative on October 23, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 43 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 20 of the 43 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 47%.

PBR moved below its 50-day moving average on November 02, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for PBR crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on November 05, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 7 of 18 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 39%.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 8 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an Uptrend is expected.

The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 11 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.

Following a +2.05% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where PBR advanced for three days, in 285 of 357 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 80%.

PBR may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 211 of 279 cases where PBR Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 76%.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 23 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 31, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 31 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 33 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 51 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.285) is normal, around the industry mean (1.508). P/E Ratio (4.681) is within average values for comparable stocks, (10.200). PBR's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (5.913) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (1.088). Dividend Yield (0.102) settles around the average of (0.053) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.293) is also within normal values, averaging (3.764).

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 61 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. PBR’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 77 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are ExxonMobil Holdings Corporation (NYSE:XOM), Chevron Corp (NYSE:CVX), Petroleo Brasileiro Sa-Petrobras ADS (REP 1 Common Share) (NYSE:PBR), BP plc (NYSE:BP), Suncor Energy (NYSE:SU), YPF Sociedad Anonima (NYSE:YPF).

Industry description

Integrated oil companies are involved across nearly the entire oil value chain – from upstream operations like exploration and production, to downstream functions of refining and marketing. Exxon Mobil Corporation, Chevron Corporation and BP are major integrated oil companies. Their bottom lines’ response to crude oil prices could depend on the proportion of upstream vs. downstream businesses; for example, if a company has substantial downstream business, the adverse impact on their upstream business due to falling crude prices could be mitigated by benefits to its downstream business.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Integrated Oil Industry is 124.37B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 63.2K to 682.04B. XOM holds the highest valuation in this group at 682.04B. The lowest valued company is CRRDF at 63.2K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Integrated Oil Industry was -0%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -12%, and the average quarterly price growth was -3%. DEC experienced the highest price growth at 8%, while SKYQ experienced the biggest fall at -33%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Integrated Oil Industry was -38%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -5% and the average quarterly volume growth was -20%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 53
P/E Growth Rating: 74
Price Growth Rating: 57
SMR Rating: 56
Profit Risk Rating: 31
Seasonality Score: -37 (-100 ... +100)
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General Information

a company which engages in exploration, refining and processing of oil and natural gas

Industry IntegratedOil

Industry
Integrated Oil
Address
Avenida Henrique Valadares, 28
Phone
+55 2132242401
Employees
50687
Web
https://www.petrobras.com.br
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