Indian e-commerce to be boosted by new draft policy, but questions remain
The untapped potential of India’s nascent e-commerce market is fast gaining momentum, as the country outlines a new draft policy aimed at protecting domestic e-commerce players while further restricting the operations of foreign companies within the country.
The idea is to monetize the country’s data for its own development.
This new draft seems to be following the footsteps of China where local tech giants like Baidu, Alibaba and Tencent are being nurtured with foreign tech companies having restricted operational mobility within the country.
To create a similar market for the India e-commerce sector, the 41 page draft encourages setting up of data centers and server farms within the country, a move that will not only create more local jobs but also push foreign e-commerce companies for full compliance with the newly drafted regulations. For example, foreign e-commerce players would now have to become registered business entities in India to be able to sell in the country.
This move to boost local e-commerce market is timely as this sector is predicted to reach $200 billion by 2026 mostly due to rising incomes as well as the rising use of internet, especially with the growing penetration of smartphones. This makes the country a target for global tech giants like Amazon (AMZN) and Walmart (WMT) to gather and analyze demographic data on online behavior and spending habits. The draft mentions that unless policymakers make use of these locally generated data, Indian e-commerce will not be able to create value-added digital products. Instead, it will have to continue outsourcing them into foreign hands.
The draft has been supported by some of the richest names of the country, for example Mukesh Ambani, the chairman and managing director of Reliance Industries.
AMZN in upward trend: price rose above 50-day moving average on November 25, 2025
AMZN moved above its 50-day moving average on November 25, 2025 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend. In of 38 similar past instances, the stock price increased further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. of 57 cases where AMZN's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where AMZN advanced for three days, in of 320 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for AMZN moved out of overbought territory on November 06, 2025. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 46 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 46 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on November 14, 2025. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on AMZN as a result. In of 78 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for AMZN turned negative on November 14, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 56 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 56 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .
The 10-day moving average for AMZN crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on November 26, 2025. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 16 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where AMZN declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
AMZN broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 31, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Aroon Indicator for AMZN entered a downward trend on October 27, 2025. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. AMZN’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 92, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (6.743) is normal, around the industry mean (59.142). P/E Ratio (32.941) is within average values for comparable stocks, (60.150). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.838) is also within normal values, averaging (2.516). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.087) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (3.644) is also within normal values, averaging (16.897).
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a provider of on-line retail shopping services
Industry InternetRetail
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