Is MPLX LP the Next Shining Star In The Energy Sector?
A diversified midstream energy infrastructure and logistics company, MPLX, has been growing leaps and bounds in the last few quarters. But only few have noticed.
Despite having excellent and fast improving fundamentals, along with a high yield, the company hasn’t been able fully engage investor interest. The main reason, perhaps, is that the investor community has recently seen a number of master limited partnerships blow up.
What makes MPLX any different?
MPLX is differentiated by its recession resistant and seemingly low-risk self-funding business model, its short-term hyper growth strategy, its calculated investment strategies which act as a catalyst for its long-term growth, and finally, its strong balance sheet.
The company focused on developing an extensive portfolio of growth projects, but also made sure it didn’t take on too much debt to accomplish its goal. This has resulted in consistently improving quarterly performance.
The company reported its 23rd consecutive quarterly distribution increase to $0.6375 per common unit for the third-quarter 2018. Adjusted EBITDA and distributable cash flow for the quarter stood at $937 million and $766 million respectively, which provided 1.47x distribution coverage and resulted in 3.8x leverage. They also reported 74% adjusted EBIDTA growth in Q3 on a y-o-y basis, and 23% y-o-y adjusted EBITDA growth after excluding the impact from drawdowns.
This rapid growth pace is giving management plenty of cash to invest in the business, while maintaining its streak of consistently increasing its pay-out every quarter.
MPLX's RSI Oscillator climbs out of oversold territory
The RSI Oscillator for MPLX moved out of oversold territory on October 13, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from a downward trend to an upward trend. Traders may want to buy the stock or call options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 10 similar instances when the indicator left oversold territory. In of the 10 cases the stock moved higher. This puts the odds of a move higher at .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. of 47 cases where MPLX's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 20, 2025. You may want to consider a long position or call options on MPLX as a result. In of 79 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for MPLX just turned positive on October 20, 2025. Looking at past instances where MPLX's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 52 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where MPLX advanced for three days, in of 363 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 401 cases where MPLX Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
Bearish Trend Analysis
MPLX moved below its 50-day moving average on September 29, 2025 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for MPLX crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 01, 2025. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 13 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where MPLX declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 59, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (3.659) is normal, around the industry mean (85.281). P/E Ratio (11.786) is within average values for comparable stocks, (52.292). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.029) is also within normal values, averaging (4.986). Dividend Yield (0.077) settles around the average of (0.119) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (4.482) is also within normal values, averaging (3.642).
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. MPLX’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
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General Information
a developer of pipelines and other midstream assets
Industry OilGasPipelines
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