Is Silver the Next GameStop? (Answer: No)
Let's be honest: for every story published about a new millionaire minted by the GameStop and AMC fiasco, there were twice as many people on the losing side of the trade. Steep declines off GameStop's $400+ peak have arguably hurt more people than the short-lived gains helped.
This week, participants on online forums suggested that a buying spree of silver could generate big GameStop-like gains, and while there was a short-term rally in iShares Silver Trust, the ETF is now flat for the year.
Bottom line: creating a short squeeze in silver is impossible. In order to create a GameStop-like income in the commodity, an investor would need to hold large quantities of the metal. Most retail investors don't have any, and would have a challenging time building up a position -- given the $50 billion market for coins, bars, and other silver investments -- and given restrictions on the size of positions that retail investors can take.
Predictably, the rally didn't last very long, and shares of silver producers are plummeting. First Majestic Silver shares have fallen over -20% and Hecla Mining is off nearly as much. My advice to retail investors as more of these online forum-driven trade ideas pop-up: steer clear.
If you want to invest in silver, take a look at Artificial Intelligence driven analysis and trade ideas (below). Don't get advice from Reddit.
Contributor
Sergey Savastiouk, Ph.D. has a degree in Applied Mathematics from Moscow University and has extensive experience as an entrepreneur, investor, manager, and mathematician. His professional expertise is in applied mathematics, mathematical modeling, system and pattern analysis, and software and hardware system integration. He has served as the CEO of several hi-tech start-up companies and nonprofit organizations, which has given him proven capabilities in business strategy for high-tech start-up companies, market assessment, company formation, team building, product development, marketing, and sales. He has published numerous articles in journals and magazines on related fields. As a retail investor, he spent 15 years developing his proprietary trading and quantitative algorithms (now Tickeron’s A.I.), which brought him significant returns in trading the stock market. His current work and goal in founding Tickeron is to bring professional, sophisticated stock market analysis capabilities to retail investors via an easy-to-use interface.
SLV's Stochastic Oscillator remains in oversold zone for 6 days
The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an uptrend is expected.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
Following a +1.30% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where SLV advanced for three days, in 287 of 318 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.
SLV may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on September 28, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on SLV as a result. In 71 of 88 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 81%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for SLV turned negative on September 01, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 47 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 42 of the 47 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 89%.
SLV moved below its 50-day moving average on September 28, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for SLV crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 01, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 16 of 18 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 89%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where SLV declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 84%.
The Aroon Indicator for SLV entered a downward trend on October 06, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
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General Information
Category CommoditiesBroadBasket
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