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Sergey Savastiouk's Avatar
published in Blogs
Feb 03, 2021

Is Silver the Next GameStop? (Answer: No)

Let's be honest: for every story published about a new millionaire minted by the GameStop and AMC fiasco, there were twice as many people on the losing side of the trade. Steep declines off GameStop's $400+ peak have arguably hurt more people than the short-lived gains helped.

This week, participants on online forums suggested that a buying spree of silver could generate big GameStop-like gains, and while there was a short-term rally in iShares Silver Trust, the ETF is now flat for the year. 

Bottom line: creating a short squeeze in silver is impossible. In order to create a GameStop-like income in the commodity, an investor would need to hold large quantities of the metal. Most retail investors don't have any, and would have a challenging time building up a position -- given the $50 billion market for coins, bars, and other silver investments -- and given restrictions on the size of positions that retail investors can take.

Predictably, the rally didn't last very long, and shares of silver producers are plummeting. First Majestic Silver shares have fallen over -20% and Hecla Mining is off nearly as much. My advice to retail investors as more of these online forum-driven trade ideas pop-up: steer clear.

If you want to invest in silver, take a look at Artificial Intelligence driven analysis and trade ideas (below). Don't get advice from Reddit. 

Related Ticker: SLV

Aroon Indicator for SLV shows an upward move is likely

SLV's Aroon Indicator triggered a bullish signal on February 14, 2025. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor detected that the AroonUp green line is above 70 while the AroonDown red line is below 30. When the up indicator moves above 70 and the down indicator remains below 30, it is a sign that the stock could be setting up for a bullish move. Traders may want to buy the stock or look to buy calls options. A.I.dvisor looked at 215 similar instances where the Aroon Indicator showed a similar pattern. In of the 215 cases, the stock moved higher in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a move higher at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on January 28, 2025. You may want to consider a long position or call options on SLV as a result. In of 94 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

SLV moved above its 50-day moving average on January 29, 2025 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

The 10-day moving average for SLV crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on January 24, 2025. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 18 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where SLV advanced for three days, in of 302 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for SLV moved out of overbought territory on February 07, 2025. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 37 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 37 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .

The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 63 cases where SLV's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

SLV broke above its upper Bollinger Band on February 04, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Industry description

The investment seeks to reflect generally the performance of the price of silver. The Trust seeks to reflect such performance before payment of the Trust's expenses and liabilities. It is not actively managed. The Trust does not engage in any activities designed to obtain a profit from, or to ameliorate losses caused by, changes in the price of silver.
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General Information

Category CommoditiesBroadBasket

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Commodities Focused
Address
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