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published in Blogs
Feb 03, 2021

Is Silver the Next GameStop? (Answer: No)

Let's be honest: for every story published about a new millionaire minted by the GameStop and AMC fiasco, there were twice as many people on the losing side of the trade. Steep declines off GameStop's $400+ peak have arguably hurt more people than the short-lived gains helped.

This week, participants on online forums suggested that a buying spree of silver could generate big GameStop-like gains, and while there was a short-term rally in iShares Silver Trust, the ETF is now flat for the year. 

Bottom line: creating a short squeeze in silver is impossible. In order to create a GameStop-like income in the commodity, an investor would need to hold large quantities of the metal. Most retail investors don't have any, and would have a challenging time building up a position -- given the $50 billion market for coins, bars, and other silver investments -- and given restrictions on the size of positions that retail investors can take.

Predictably, the rally didn't last very long, and shares of silver producers are plummeting. First Majestic Silver shares have fallen over -20% and Hecla Mining is off nearly as much. My advice to retail investors as more of these online forum-driven trade ideas pop-up: steer clear.

If you want to invest in silver, take a look at Artificial Intelligence driven analysis and trade ideas (below). Don't get advice from Reddit. 

Related Ticker: SLV

SLV's MACD Histogram crosses above signal line

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for SLV turned positive on April 02, 2024. Looking at past instances where SLV's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 46 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on April 02, 2024. You may want to consider a long position or call options on SLV as a result. In of 98 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The 50-day moving average for SLV moved above the 200-day moving average on March 28, 2024. This could be a long-term bullish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an upward trend.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where SLV advanced for three days, in of 297 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 221 cases where SLV Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for SLV moved out of overbought territory on April 16, 2024. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 41 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 41 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .

The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 61 cases where SLV's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where SLV declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

SLV broke above its upper Bollinger Band on April 05, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Fear & Greed

Industry description

The investment seeks to reflect generally the performance of the price of silver. The Trust seeks to reflect such performance before payment of the Trust's expenses and liabilities. It is not actively managed. The Trust does not engage in any activities designed to obtain a profit from, or to ameliorate losses caused by, changes in the price of silver.
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