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published in Blogs
Jul 19, 2018
Is Texas the Next Oil Superpower?

Is Texas the Next Oil Superpower?

Texas could surpass Iraq and Iran in oil production by next year, as suggested by a HSBC analysis.

The rapid explosion of oil output from the state could catapult Texas to the position of the 3rd highest oil producer (behind Russia and Saudi Arabia)  if it were a country, according to HSBC.

The two major oilfields of the state, the Permian Basin and Eagle Ford are projected to pump a combined output of 5.6 million barrels per day in 2019 – compared to 2.5 million barrels per day in 2014, according to HSBC analysis. Iraq and Iran are estimated to produce 4.8 million and 3 million barrels per day respectively next year.

However, it remains to be seen if the Permian Basin can resolve its existing infrastructural/ logistical bottlenecks such as pipeline shortages, and how far it can channel its massive production potential into effective supply networks.

Related Ticker: BP

BP sees MACD Histogram crosses below signal line

BP saw its Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) turn negative on June 11, 2026. This is a bearish signal that suggests the stock could decline going forward. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 47 instances where the indicator turned negative. In of the 47 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a downward move at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on June 15, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on BP as a result. In of 99 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

BP moved below its 50-day moving average on May 21, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where BP declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator for BP entered a downward trend on June 23, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator entered the oversold zone -- be on the watch for BP's price rising or consolidating in the future. That's also the time to consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 4 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where BP advanced for three days, in of 356 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

BP may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.830) is normal, around the industry mean (1.939). P/E Ratio (32.184) is within average values for comparable stocks, (20.170). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.042) is also within normal values, averaging (1.141). Dividend Yield (0.050) settles around the average of (0.043) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.538) is also within normal values, averaging (1.738).

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 33, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. BP’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Exxon Mobil Corp (NYSE:XOM), Chevron Corp (NYSE:CVX), Petroleo Brasileiro Sa-Petrobras ADS (REP 1 Common Share) (NYSE:PBR), BP plc (NYSE:BP), Suncor Energy (NYSE:SU), YPF Sociedad Anonima (NYSE:YPF).

Industry description

Integrated oil companies are involved across nearly the entire oil value chain – from upstream operations like exploration and production, to downstream functions of refining and marketing. Exxon Mobil Corporation, Chevron Corporation and BP are major integrated oil companies. Their bottom lines’ response to crude oil prices could depend on the proportion of upstream vs. downstream businesses; for example, if a company has substantial downstream business, the adverse impact on their upstream business due to falling crude prices could be mitigated by benefits to its downstream business.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Integrated Oil Industry is 106.99B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 39.76K to 579.17B. XOM holds the highest valuation in this group at 579.17B. The lowest valued company is PGAS at 39.76K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Integrated Oil Industry was 0%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -9%, and the average quarterly price growth was 23%. SKYQ experienced the highest price growth at 37%, while YPF experienced the biggest fall at -6%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Integrated Oil Industry was -26%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 14% and the average quarterly volume growth was 164%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 38
P/E Growth Rating: 46
Price Growth Rating: 55
SMR Rating: 64
Profit Risk Rating: 33
Seasonality Score: -54 (-100 ... +100)
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General Information

a producer of petroleum, natural gas and related products

Industry IntegratedOil

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Industry
Integrated Oil
Address
1 St James's Square
Phone
+44 2074964000
Employees
87800
Web
https://www.bp.com
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Is Texas the Next Oil Superpower?