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Oct 21, 2018

Is the Venezuelan Cryptocurrency Real?

Venezuela’s economy is undeniably in dire straits. The South American nation is awash with crude oil, but a cocktail of severe income inequality, corruption, and international sanctions has driven inflation to extraordinary levels. Basic necessities like food and medicine are in short supply, rampant crime is the norm, and the population that hasn’t fled has grown increasingly desperate as their currency, the bolívar, has been devalued to extremes.

Crypto enthusiasts around the world have watched the resulting economic crisis for President Nicolás Maduro and his administration with great interest because they have opened the door for real world (and potentially widespread) adoption of digital currencies. Bitcoin, Dash, and others are significantly more reliable stores of value and mediums of exchange than the bolívar, with the added benefit of providing ways around the control mechanisms of Maduro’s authoritarian government.

Somewhat counterintuitively, the Maduro administration has also embraced cryptocurrency. The government created the petro, the first virtual currency ever issued by a country, as part of an attempt to generate enough income to allow the government to pay off ever-rising debts and import the basic goods its people have been deprived of, as well as to navigate around American sanctions.

The petro is backed by Venezuela’s most reliable economic resource – its vast oil reserves, specifically from a region called Atapirire – but exactly how is an open question when the area lacks the infrastructure to extract any. In fact, there are extensive questions about whether the petro really exists at all. Reuters spent four months researching the coin and found very little evidence to support its existence – the coin is not traded on major crypto exchanges, and they could find no shops that accepted it. The few buyers that reporters could track down (none of whom would identify themselves) described experiences ranging from being “scammed” to blaming US sanctions and “awful press” for weakening the petro’s launch.

Meanwhile, the government is issuing conflicting information about their digital currency. Maduro has claimed that the petro has raised $3.3 billion, which is being used to pay for imports. But a cabinet minister involved in the project, Hubbel Roa, told reporters that the coin is still being developed and is not usable at this time. The government agency in charge of the petro – the Superintendence of Cryptoassets – “does not yet have a physical presence” in their supposed office in the Finance Ministry, a receptionist there told Reuters. They lack a digital presence as well – their website is currently non-operational.

The confusion surrounding the petro seems to be an extension of the general chaos in Venezuela, with no end in sight. But despite the coin lacking a trading value, the petro continues to surface. Maduro from recently announcing that the bolívar and petro were now linked for the exchange rate, salaries, and pensions, eliciting eye rolls and consternation from experts in the country. For now, it seems that the petro is more of an idea than a functioning cryptocurrency – and a less-than-stellar investment until more information is available.   
 

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Related Ticker: BTC.X

BTC.X in downward trend: 10-day moving average moved below 50-day moving average on October 17, 2025

The 10-day moving average for BTC.X crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 17, 2025. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 20 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on November 03, 2025. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on BTC.X as a result. In of 139 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for BTC.X turned negative on November 03, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 66 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 66 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

BTC.X moved below its 50-day moving average on October 27, 2025 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 50-day moving average for BTC.X moved below the 200-day moving average on November 16, 2025. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where BTC.X declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator for BTC.X entered a downward trend on November 21, 2025. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 5 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an Uptrend is expected.

The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 8 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where BTC.X advanced for three days, in of 436 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

BTC.X may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the group is 1.7T. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 1.7T to 1.7T. BTC.X holds the highest valuation in this group at 1.7T. The lowest valued company is BTC.X at 1.7T.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the group was -10%. For the same group, the average monthly price growth was -21%, and the average quarterly price growth was -22%. BTC.X experienced the highest price growth at -10%, while BTC.X experienced the biggest fall at -10%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the group was 13%. For the same stocks of the group, the average monthly volume growth was 60% and the average quarterly volume growth was 172%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating:
P/E Growth Rating:
Price Growth Rating:
SMR Rating:
Profit Risk Rating:
Seasonality Score: (-100 ... +100)
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BTC.X
Daily Signal:
Gain/Loss:
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These past five trading days, the crypto lost 0.00% with an average daily volume of 0 shares traded.The crypto tracked a drawdown of 0% for this period.
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