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Sergey Savastiouk's Avatar
published in Blogs
Jan 07, 2020

J.B. Hunt Transport (JBHT, $115.00) gets a rating downgrade from Bernstein, on near-term challenges

On Monday, J.B. Hunt Transport got a rating downgrade from analysts at Bernstein.

 Bernstein  analysts lowered their rating on the freight transport company to market perform from outperform, citing expectations of near-term headwinds. Bernstein ‘s outlook factors in near-term intermodal growth expected to be tougher in the new year than it was in 2019, on what it perceives as softness of the freight market.

Bernstein  has a price target of $124 on the shares, which represents 6% potential upside from the stock’s Friday closing price.

The Street’s consensus estimate of price target on JB Hunt shares is $113.

Trends in global transport are apparently getting affected by factors such as  environmental concerns (e.g. climate change), and geopolitical uncertainties surrounding U.S.-China and U.S.-Iran relations.

Related Ticker: JBHT

JBHT's RSI Indicator leaves overbought zone

The 10-day RSI Indicator for JBHT moved out of overbought territory on November 12, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. Traders may want to look at selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 36 instances where the indicator moved out of the overbought zone. In of the 36 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a move down at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on December 06, 2024. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on JBHT as a result. In of 98 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for JBHT turned negative on November 15, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 38 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 38 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where JBHT declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

JBHT broke above its upper Bollinger Band on November 11, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 1 day, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.

The 50-day moving average for JBHT moved above the 200-day moving average on November 19, 2024. This could be a long-term bullish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an upward trend.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where JBHT advanced for three days, in of 311 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 283 cases where JBHT Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 75, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. JBHT’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (4.946) is normal, around the industry mean (20.642). P/E Ratio (28.189) is within average values for comparable stocks, (22.262). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.160) is also within normal values, averaging (10.503). Dividend Yield (0.009) settles around the average of (0.037) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.599) is also within normal values, averaging (1.303).

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are United Parcel Service (NYSE:UPS), FedEx Corp (NYSE:FDX), C.H. Robinson Worldwide (NASDAQ:CHRW).

Industry description

The Air Freight/Couriers industry operates air transportation and recurring delivery services. This includes companies offering same-day deliveries, scheduled delivery and logistical services. The proliferation of e-commerce/online retail with a growing emphasis on faster delivery has expanded opportunities for this industry, and induced more competition. United Parcel Service, Inc., FedEx Corporation and Expeditors International of Washington, Inc. are some of the major companies in this industry.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Air Freight/Couriers Industry is 13.19B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 2.6M to 126.8B. UPS holds the highest valuation in this group at 126.8B. The lowest valued company is PTNYF at 2.6M.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Air Freight/Couriers Industry was 3%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 1%, and the average quarterly price growth was 11%. JYD experienced the highest price growth at 178%, while PDPTF experienced the biggest fall at -27%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Air Freight/Couriers Industry was 7%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 7% and the average quarterly volume growth was 25%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 58
P/E Growth Rating: 50
Price Growth Rating: 57
SMR Rating: 70
Profit Risk Rating: 75
Seasonality Score: 23 (-100 ... +100)
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A.I.Advisor
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published General Information

General Information

an operater of surface transportation, delivery and logistics company

Industry AirFreightCouriers

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Trucking
Address
615 J.B. Hunt Corporate Drive
Phone
+1 479 820-0000
Employees
34718
Web
https://www.jbhunt.com
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