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Nov 29, 2023

📈 JD.com ($JD, $28.34) Faces Market Headwinds: Anticipate -4% Downtrend Ahead!

📉🔍 JD.com (JD, $28.34) Downtrend Alert: Brace for Potential Slide!
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In a concerning market development, JD.com (JD, $28.34) shows signs of entering a bearish phase. A.I. analysis suggests a probable 4% decline to $27.21 or lower within the next month, with a 79% chance of a continued downtrend. Despite a recent earnings triumph, surpassing estimates with $6.70 per share, the company's market dynamics hint at potential challenges ahead.

🌐🛍️ Inside the Internet Retail Sector:

JD.com operates in the bustling internet retail industry, where the likes of giants such as Amazon and Alibaba dominate. This sector, experiencing a surge in online consumer activity, demands swift product delivery and efficient logistics to stay competitive. JD's alignment with this fast-paced, ever-evolving industry, where consumer preferences and technological advancements dictate the market rhythm, adds a layer of complexity to its stock movement.

💹📊 Market Cap Insights:

With a market capitalization of $44.70B, JD.com is a significant player in the internet retail industry, where market caps range from $30 to an astounding $1.52T.

📈📉 Industry Performance Overview:

The internet retail industry has seen varied performances, with weekly price growth averaging at 2% and a more robust quarterly surge of 33%. However, JD's current trajectory seems disconnected from these broader trends, indicating unique pressures or potential missed opportunities.

📊🔍 Fundamental Analysis:

  • Valuation Rating: 63
  • P/E Growth Rating: 67
  • Price Growth Rating: 52
  • SMR Rating: 76
  • Profit Risk Rating: 91
  • Seasonality Score: -21

🔮📉 Outlook and Correlation:

While JD's immediate outlook appears bearish, it's crucial to watch closely for any market shifts. Its strong correlation with Alibaba (85% lockstep movement) suggests that regional market trends or sector-specific news could significantly impact its stock price.

📆📈 Earnings Snapshot:

JD's last reported earnings on November 14, 2023, point towards robust financial health, but market sentiment seems to lean otherwise. As the landscape of internet retail continues to evolve rapidly, keeping an eye on emerging trends and JD's adaptive strategies will be key for traders and investors alike. 🌍🛒📊

Related Ticker: JD

JD sees MACD Histogram just turned negative

JD saw its Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) turn negative on March 24, 2025. This is a bearish signal that suggests the stock could decline going forward. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 50 instances where the indicator turned negative. In of the 50 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a downward move at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on March 28, 2025. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on JD as a result. In of 100 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

JD moved below its 50-day moving average on April 02, 2025 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for JD crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on April 04, 2025. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 16 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where JD declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator for JD entered a downward trend on April 16, 2025. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where JD's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, of 29 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. of 64 cases where JD's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where JD advanced for three days, in of 274 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

JD may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.554) is normal, around the industry mean (4.086). P/E Ratio (9.546) is within average values for comparable stocks, (46.538). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.777) is also within normal values, averaging (1.519). Dividend Yield (0.029) settles around the average of (0.044) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.340) is also within normal values, averaging (5.218).

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. JD’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. JD’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 88, placing this stock worse than average.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Amazon.com (NASDAQ:AMZN), Alibaba Group Holding Limited (NYSE:BABA), PDD Holdings (NASDAQ:PDD), JD.com (NASDAQ:JD), eBay (NASDAQ:EBAY), Chewy (NYSE:CHWY), Vipshop Holdings Limited (NYSE:VIPS), Just Eat Takeaway.com N.V. (OTC:JTKWY), Wayfair (NYSE:W), Revolve Group (NYSE:RVLV).

Industry description

The internet retail industry includes companies that sell products and services through the Internet. With more and more consumers using online retailers, the companies have seen a big increase in the use of their services. Some of the companies in the group are focused on selling business-to-business products and services. Others sell business-to-consumer products and services. Internet retailers offer a wide variety of products like books, apparel, and electronics. Some companies even specialize in only one or two categories. One potentially critical factor for players to thrive in this space is the quality and speed of product delivery. This requires an investment in efficient distribution networks. Things like logistics are important factors in the success in the extremely competitive industry. For a company to stay relevant in the industry it must have effective pricing strategies and upgraded websites. The websites must be easy to navigate and engaging for customers. In addition to the revenues generated from straight sales, internet retailers can generate revenue from subscription fees and advertising. Amazon.com, Inc., Alibaba Group, and JD.com are some of the global leaders.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Internet Retail Industry is 36.68B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 622 to 1.83T. AMZN holds the highest valuation in this group at 1.83T. The lowest valued company is RBZHF at 622.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Internet Retail Industry was 1%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 63%, and the average quarterly price growth was 17%. WBUYD experienced the highest price growth at 56%, while NEXCF experienced the biggest fall at -36%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Internet Retail Industry was -42%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 2% and the average quarterly volume growth was -20%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 59
P/E Growth Rating: 63
Price Growth Rating: 62
SMR Rating: 75
Profit Risk Rating: 88
Seasonality Score: -10 (-100 ... +100)
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General Information

a provider of online shopping services

Industry InternetRetail

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Internet Retail
Address
No. 18 Kechuang 11 Street
Phone
+86 1089118888
Employees
450679
Web
https://www.jd.com
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