📉🔍 JD.com (JD, $28.34) Downtrend Alert: Brace for Potential Slide!
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In a concerning market development, JD.com (JD, $28.34) shows signs of entering a bearish phase. A.I. analysis suggests a probable 4% decline to $27.21 or lower within the next month, with a 79% chance of a continued downtrend. Despite a recent earnings triumph, surpassing estimates with $6.70 per share, the company's market dynamics hint at potential challenges ahead.
🌐🛍️ Inside the Internet Retail Sector:
JD.com operates in the bustling internet retail industry, where the likes of giants such as Amazon and Alibaba dominate. This sector, experiencing a surge in online consumer activity, demands swift product delivery and efficient logistics to stay competitive. JD's alignment with this fast-paced, ever-evolving industry, where consumer preferences and technological advancements dictate the market rhythm, adds a layer of complexity to its stock movement.
💹📊 Market Cap Insights:
With a market capitalization of $44.70B, JD.com is a significant player in the internet retail industry, where market caps range from $30 to an astounding $1.52T.
📈📉 Industry Performance Overview:
The internet retail industry has seen varied performances, with weekly price growth averaging at 2% and a more robust quarterly surge of 33%. However, JD's current trajectory seems disconnected from these broader trends, indicating unique pressures or potential missed opportunities.
📊🔍 Fundamental Analysis:
🔮📉 Outlook and Correlation:
While JD's immediate outlook appears bearish, it's crucial to watch closely for any market shifts. Its strong correlation with Alibaba (85% lockstep movement) suggests that regional market trends or sector-specific news could significantly impact its stock price.
📆📈 Earnings Snapshot:
JD's last reported earnings on November 14, 2023, point towards robust financial health, but market sentiment seems to lean otherwise. As the landscape of internet retail continues to evolve rapidly, keeping an eye on emerging trends and JD's adaptive strategies will be key for traders and investors alike. 🌍🛒📊
The 10-day moving average for JD crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on November 18, 2024. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 16 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The 10-day RSI Indicator for JD moved out of overbought territory on December 10, 2024. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 33 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 33 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on December 19, 2024. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on JD as a result. In of 102 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for JD turned negative on December 18, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 50 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 50 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .
JD moved below its 50-day moving average on December 11, 2024 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where JD declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
JD broke above its upper Bollinger Band on December 09, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 4 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
Following a +1 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where JD advanced for three days, in of 283 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 150 cases where JD Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.647) is normal, around the industry mean (4.618). P/E Ratio (11.532) is within average values for comparable stocks, (59.078). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.777) is also within normal values, averaging (2.751). Dividend Yield (0.021) settles around the average of (0.028) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.361) is also within normal values, averaging (5.852).
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. JD’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. JD’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 89, placing this stock worse than average.
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
a provider of online shopping services
Industry InternetRetail