JPMorgan (JPM, $114.24 ) Lowers Optimism On Chinese Equities
With the U.S.-China trade war flaring up, some strategists at JPMorgan have lowering their recommendation on Chinese stocks to neutral from overweight.
With the two nations slapping tariffs on goods imported from each other, Chinese manufacturers’ profit margins might be getting hurt – something that's a potential headwind for the nation’s investment and growth. In the latest round of the tariff battle, U.S. President Donald Trump imposed a 10 percent tariff on an additional $200 billion of Chinese goods, to which the Chinese government responded with levies on $60 billion of U.S. products.
JPMorgan reduced its target and earnings estimates for the MSCI China Index, but the strategists still expect the index to rebound to 85 points by the end of the year. So far, the index is down -24% from its January high.
Earlier this year, Morgan Stanley, Nomura Holdings Inc. and Jefferies Group also turned cautious about Chinese stocks.
Momentum Indicator for MCHI turns positive, indicating new upward trend
MCHI saw its Momentum Indicator move above the 0 level on August 28, 2025. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new upward move. Traders may want to consider buying the stock or buying call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 93 similar instances where the indicator turned positive. In of the 93 cases, the stock moved higher in the following days. The odds of a move higher are at .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for MCHI just turned positive on September 09, 2025. Looking at past instances where MCHI's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 47 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where MCHI advanced for three days, in of 260 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 171 cases where MCHI Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
Bearish Trend Analysis
The RSI Oscillator demonstrated that the stock has entered the overbought zone. This may point to a price pull-back soon.
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 4 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where MCHI declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
MCHI broke above its upper Bollinger Band on September 11, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
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