JPMorgan (JPM, $114.24 ) Lowers Optimism On Chinese Equities
With the U.S.-China trade war flaring up, some strategists at JPMorgan have lowering their recommendation on Chinese stocks to neutral from overweight.
With the two nations slapping tariffs on goods imported from each other, Chinese manufacturers’ profit margins might be getting hurt – something that's a potential headwind for the nation’s investment and growth. In the latest round of the tariff battle, U.S. President Donald Trump imposed a 10 percent tariff on an additional $200 billion of Chinese goods, to which the Chinese government responded with levies on $60 billion of U.S. products.
JPMorgan reduced its target and earnings estimates for the MSCI China Index, but the strategists still expect the index to rebound to 85 points by the end of the year. So far, the index is down -24% from its January high.
Earlier this year, Morgan Stanley, Nomura Holdings Inc. and Jefferies Group also turned cautious about Chinese stocks.
MCHI in -7.17% downward trend, falling for three consecutive days on October 10, 2025
Moving lower for three straight days is viewed as a bearish sign. Keep an eye on this stock for future declines. Considering data from situations where MCHI declined for three days, in of 317 cases, the price declined further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 10, 2025. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on MCHI as a result. In of 91 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for MCHI turned negative on October 07, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 47 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 47 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where MCHI's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, of 33 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. of 66 cases where MCHI's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .
MCHI moved above its 50-day moving average on October 13, 2025 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where MCHI advanced for three days, in of 260 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
MCHI may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 160 cases where MCHI Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
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