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Abhoy Sarkar's Avatar
published in Blogs
Mar 25, 2022

KB Home (KBH, $34.39) Q1 sales rose +23% year-over-year

KB Home's first-quarter revenue rose +23% from the year-ago quarter to $1.40 billion, on the back of +22% growth in average sales prices. Home delivery volume was close to unchanged at 2,868. Those higher prices were enough to cover rising materials costs, as operating margin jumped 2.2 percentage points to 12.2%.

Earnings rose +44% from the year-ago quarter to $1.47 per share.

Backlogs increased +55% year over year to $5.71 billion.

Looking ahead, KB Home projects full-year fiscal 2022 revenue range of $7.2 billion to $7.6 billion, which implies growth of 26% to 33%. Average prices are expected to continue rising to between $490,000 and $500,000.

Related Ticker: KBH

Aroon Indicator for KBH shows an upward move is likely

KBH's Aroon Indicator triggered a bullish signal on May 23, 2023. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor detected that the AroonUp green line is above 70 while the AroonDown red line is below 30. When the up indicator moves above 70 and the down indicator remains below 30, it is a sign that the stock could be setting up for a bullish move. Traders may want to buy the stock or look to buy calls options. A.I.dvisor looked at 281 similar instances where the Aroon Indicator showed a similar pattern. In of the 281 cases, the stock moved higher in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a move higher at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on June 05, 2023. You may want to consider a long position or call options on KBH as a result. In of 94 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where KBH advanced for three days, in of 308 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

KBH may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for KBH moved out of overbought territory on May 19, 2023. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 29 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 29 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .

The Stochastic Oscillator entered the overbought zone. Expect a price pull-back in the foreseeable future.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for KBH turned negative on May 19, 2023. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 52 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 52 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where KBH declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Fear & Greed

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.026) is normal, around the industry mean (6.761). P/E Ratio (5.068) is within average values for comparable stocks, (120.868). KBH's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is slightly lower than the industry average of (2.346). KBH has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.013) as compared to the industry average of (0.048). P/S Ratio (0.588) is also within normal values, averaging (71.817).

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 65, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. KBH’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are DR Horton (NYSE:DHI), Lennar Corp (NYSE:LEN), Pultegroup (NYSE:PHM), KB Home (NYSE:KBH).

Industry description

Homebuilding includes companies residential home construction companies, renovators and repair firms. The companies may be building single-family or multifamily homes, condominiums or mobile homes. Over the five years to 2019, the Home Builders industry is estimated to have grown at an annualized rate of 2.5% to reach $89.4 billion, (including expected growth of 2.6% in 2019), according to a study by IbisWorld. After having suffered one of its worst crises a decade ago during the last macroeconomic recession–which had much of its origins in U.S. real estate – the homebuilding industry has been recovering steadily so far. Higher disposable incomes and improving economic activity have bolstered consumers’ purchases of homes. While revenue of the Home Builders industry remains well below its prerecession high, demand growth estimates show promise.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Homebuilding Industry is 5.09B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 100.01K to 38B. DHI holds the highest valuation in this group at 38B. The lowest valued company is ASCK at 100.01K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Homebuilding Industry was 3%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 4%, and the average quarterly price growth was 25%. STHI experienced the highest price growth at 38%, while BTDPF experienced the biggest fall at -6%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Homebuilding Industry was -71%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -69% and the average quarterly volume growth was -72%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 38
P/E Growth Rating: 46
Price Growth Rating: 50
SMR Rating: 51
Profit Risk Rating: 65
Seasonality Score: 5 (-100 ... +100)
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Technical Analysis# Of IndicatorsAvg. Odds
   
   
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A.I.Advisor
published price charts
A.I. Advisor
published General Information

General Information

a constructor and seller single family homes as well as condominium complexes

Industry Homebuilding

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Homebuilding
Address
10990 Wilshire Boulevard
Phone
+1 310 231-4000
Employees
2366
Web
https://www.kbhome.com
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KBH and

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, KBH has been closely correlated with MTH. These tickers have moved in lockstep 90% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if KBH jumps, then MTH could also see price increases.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To KBH
1D Price
Change %
KBH100%
+0.63%
MTH - KBH
90%
Closely correlated
-1.07%
TOL - KBH
90%
Closely correlated
-0.71%
PHM - KBH
90%
Closely correlated
+0.06%
MDC - KBH
89%
Closely correlated
-1.48%
TMHC - KBH
89%
Closely correlated
-0.43%
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