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published in Blogs
May 22, 2022

Kohl's (KSS, $38.91) misses earnings expectations amid inflationary pressures

Kohl’s reported results  for the quarter ended April, where earnings fell short of analysts’ expectations, even as revenue topped estimates.

The department store chain’s earnings per share: for the quarter came in at 11 cents, much lower than the 70 cents expected by analysts polled by analysts polled by Refinitiv.

The company, like several other retailers, has faced challenges due to the economy’s 40-year high inflation rates, with logistics and staffing costs putting pressure on margins.

Revenue decreased to $3.72 billion from $3.89 billion a year earlier. However, the figure  still surpassed analysts’ estimates of $3.68 billion.

Kohl’s now projects its fiscal 2022 adjusted earnings per share in the range of $6.45 to $6.85, compared with its prior outlook of $7.00 to $7.50. The company expects net sales to be flat to up 1% from year-ago levels, vs. prior guidance of up 2% to 3%.

Related Ticker: KSS

KSS's Indicator enters downward trend

The Aroon Indicator for KSS entered a downward trend on January 29, 2024. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor identified a pattern where the AroonDown red line was above 70 while the AroonUp green line was below 30 for three straight days. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. A.I.dvisor looked at 219 similar instances where the Aroon Indicator formed such a pattern. In of the 219 cases the stock moved lower. This puts the odds of a downward move at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator has been in the overbought zone for 2 days. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where KSS declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on February 14, 2024. You may want to consider a long position or call options on KSS as a result. In of 86 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for KSS just turned positive on February 12, 2024. Looking at past instances where KSS's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 46 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

KSS moved above its 50-day moving average on February 14, 2024 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

The 10-day moving average for KSS crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on February 15, 2024. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 18 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where KSS advanced for three days, in of 296 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Fear & Greed

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.823) is normal, around the industry mean (2.278). P/E Ratio (6.627) is within average values for comparable stocks, (59.492). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.067) is also within normal values, averaging (2.556). KSS's Dividend Yield (0.072) is considerably higher than the industry average of (0.029). P/S Ratio (0.174) is also within normal values, averaging (0.699).

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. KSS’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. KSS’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 78, placing this stock worse than average.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Macy's (NYSE:M), Nordstrom (NYSE:JWN), Kohl's Corp (NYSE:KSS).

Industry description

A department store sells a wide variety of consumer goods under different “departments,” including (but not necessarily limited to) apparel, household appliances, home furnishings, personal care products, cosmetics, consumer electronics. During healthy macroeconomic conditions, consumers typically won’t shy away from big-ticket purchases; but during a downturn, consumer spending might get limited to the most necessary/daily essentials. Several department stores purchase items on bulk from manufacturers for resale to consumers at a profit. Some of the largest department stores companies in the U.S. include Kohl's Corporation, Macy's Inc., and Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings Inc.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Department Stores Industry is 4.6B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 208.1K to 12.34T. MHRTF holds the highest valuation in this group at 12.34T. The lowest valued company is BONT at 208.1K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Department Stores Industry was -4%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -1%, and the average quarterly price growth was -3%. RYKKY experienced the highest price growth at 3%, while PKPYY experienced the biggest fall at -59%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Department Stores Industry was 89%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 85% and the average quarterly volume growth was 33%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 36
P/E Growth Rating: 58
Price Growth Rating: 50
SMR Rating: 59
Profit Risk Rating: 78
Seasonality Score: 0 (-100 ... +100)
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KSSDaily Signal changed days agoGain/Loss if shorted
 
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A.I.Advisor
published price charts
A.I. Advisor
published General Information

General Information

an operator of department stores

Industry DepartmentStores

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Department Stores
Address
N56 W17000 Ridgewood Drive
Phone
+1 262 703-7000
Employees
97000
Web
https://www.kohls.com
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KSS and

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, KSS has been closely correlated with JWN. These tickers have moved in lockstep 75% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if KSS jumps, then JWN could also see price increases.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To KSS
1D Price
Change %
KSS100%
-0.61%
JWN - KSS
75%
Closely correlated
-1.64%
M - KSS
72%
Closely correlated
-5.27%
DDS - KSS
63%
Loosely correlated
-0.64%
CBD - KSS
21%
Poorly correlated
-5.00%
DDT - KSS
10%
Poorly correlated
-0.88%
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