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Jan 11, 2020
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Kohl’s (KSS, $46.35) holiday sales dip from year-ago period

Kohl’s (KSS, $46.35) holiday sales dip from year-ago period

Kohl’s sales during the holiday shopping season declined from the year-ago period.

According to regulatory filing from Kohl’s, the retail chain’s  comparable-store sales for fiscal November and December 2019 combined was -0.2% lower from the same period last year.

Kohl’s now anticipates its fiscal 2019 per-share earnings to be at the low end of its previously announced guidance of $4.75 to $4.95. The guidance excludes 22 cents a share related to debt and impairment write-offs, store closings and other costs. Analysts polled by FactSet were projecting full-year earnings of $4.88 a share.

CEO Michelle Gass indicated that Kohl’s continues to see momentum in areas such as digital business, active, beauty and children’s, and solid performance in footwear and men’s, while there was weakness in women’s which they are “working with speed to address.”

Related Ticker: KSS

Contributor

Sergey Savastiouk, Ph.D. has a degree in Applied Mathematics from Moscow University and has extensive experience as an entrepreneur, investor, manager, and mathematician. His professional expertise is in applied mathematics, mathematical modeling, system and pattern analysis, and software and hardware system integration. He has served as the CEO of several hi-tech start-up companies and nonprofit organizations, which has given him proven capabilities in business strategy for high-tech start-up companies, market assessment, company formation, team building, product development, marketing, and sales. He has published numerous articles in journals and magazines on related fields. As a retail investor, he spent 15 years developing his proprietary trading and quantitative algorithms (now Tickeron’s A.I.), which brought him significant returns in trading the stock market. His current work and goal in founding Tickeron is to bring professional, sophisticated stock market analysis capabilities to retail investors via an easy-to-use interface.


KSS's MACD Histogram just turned positive

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for KSS turned positive on September 24, 2026. Looking at past instances where KSS's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 41 of 50 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 82%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on September 24, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on KSS as a result. In 76 of 96 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 79%.

KSS moved above its 50-day moving average on September 29, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

The 10-day moving average for KSS crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 05, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 12 of 15 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 80%.

Following a +13.98% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where KSS advanced for three days, in 192 of 265 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 72%.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 132 of 168 cases where KSS Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 79%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The RSI Oscillator demonstrated that the stock has entered the overbought zone. This may point to a price pull-back soon.

The Stochastic Oscillator entered the overbought zone. Expect a price pull-back in the foreseeable future.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where KSS declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 82%.

KSS broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 22, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 30 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 36 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. KSS’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 67 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.666) is normal, around the industry mean (-9.563). P/E Ratio (10.166) is within average values for comparable stocks, (-121.851). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.342) is also within normal values, averaging (1.329). Dividend Yield (0.020) settles around the average of (0.032) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.124) is also within normal values, averaging (19.276).

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 80 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. KSS’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 79, placing this stock worse than average.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Macy's (NYSE:M), Kohls Corp (NYSE:KSS).

Industry description

A department store sells a wide variety of consumer goods under different “departments,” including (but not necessarily limited to) apparel, household appliances, home furnishings, personal care products, cosmetics, consumer electronics. During healthy macroeconomic conditions, consumers typically won’t shy away from big-ticket purchases; but during a downturn, consumer spending might get limited to the most necessary/daily essentials. Several department stores purchase items on bulk from manufacturers for resale to consumers at a profit. Some of the largest department stores companies in the U.S. include Kohl’s Corporation, Macy’s Inc., and Ollie’s Bargain Outlet Holdings Inc.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Department Stores Industry is 5.27B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 208.1K to 7.88T. MHRTF holds the highest valuation in this group at 7.88T. The lowest valued company is BONT at 208.1K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Department Stores Industry was -1%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 6%, and the average quarterly price growth was 18%. M experienced the highest price growth at 2%, while DDS experienced the biggest fall at -8%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Department Stores Industry was -43%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -17% and the average quarterly volume growth was 2%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 53
P/E Growth Rating: 55
Price Growth Rating: 48
SMR Rating: 73
Profit Risk Rating: 78
Seasonality Score: 36 (-100 ... +100)
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published General Information

General Information

an operator of department stores

Industry DepartmentStores

Industry
Department Stores
Address
N56 W17000 Ridgewood Drive
Phone
+1 262 703-7000
Employees
84000
Web
https://www.kohls.com
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Kohl’s (KSS, $46.35) holiday sales dip from year-ago period