Kroger (KR) Achieves +1.0% Identical Sales Growth in Q1 2026
Key Takeaways
- Identical sales without fuel rose 1.0% in the first quarter ended May 23, 2026.
- Reported EPS reached $1.46, up from $1.29 a year earlier; adjusted EPS was $1.58.
- Operating profit totaled $1,407 million, with adjusted FIFO operating profit at $1,544 million.
- Total sales increased to $46.1 billion from $45.1 billion in the prior-year quarter.
- Full-year 2026 guidance was reaffirmed across key metrics including identical sales, operating profit, and EPS.
- Adjusted eCommerce sales grew 19%, while Kroger Precision Marketing profit rose more than 20%.
Putting the Quarter in Context
The first quarter marks the start of Kroger’s fiscal 2026 and provides an early read on consumer spending trends in the grocery sector. With identical sales growth moderating from the prior year but still positive, the results offer insight into the company’s ability to balance price investments, productivity gains, and growth in higher-margin areas such as eCommerce and precision marketing. Investors closely monitor these reports for signals on margin stability and the company’s progress toward its long-term goal of becoming America’s best grocer.
Breaking Down the Reported Results
Kroger reported first-quarter 2026 sales of $46.1 billion, compared with $45.1 billion in the year-ago period. Excluding fuel and the divested Vitacost business, sales rose 0.5%. Identical sales without fuel increased 1.0%, including an unfavorable 130 basis-point impact from the Inflation Reduction Act. GAAP earnings per share were $1.46 versus $1.29 last year, while adjusted EPS reached $1.58 compared with $1.49. Operating profit grew to $1,407 million from $1,322 million, and adjusted FIFO operating profit increased to $1,544 million from $1,518 million. Gross margin was 22.7% of sales, down from 23.0% due to higher fuel mix, transportation costs, egg deflation, and planned price investments, partially offset by favorable pharmacy mix and eCommerce improvements. The company maintained its full-year 2026 guidance, including identical sales without fuel of 1.0%–2.0%, FIFO operating profit of $5.0–$5.2 billion, and EPS of $5.10–$5.30. I also checked this using Tickeron’s AI tools to see how KR compares to others in the industry.
Market Reaction and Investor Sentiment
Shares of KR traded higher following the release, reflecting investor approval of the company’s ability to deliver results in line with expectations while reaffirming full-year guidance. Analysts noted the resilience of identical sales growth amid a challenging consumer environment and highlighted the continued expansion of higher-margin digital and precision marketing initiatives as positive developments.
Forward Outlook and Key Factors to Monitor
Kroger reaffirmed its full-year 2026 guidance, underscoring management’s confidence in the company’s trajectory. Investors will watch for continued execution on identical sales growth within the targeted 1.0%–2.0% range and progress toward the $5.0–$5.2 billion FIFO operating profit goal.
Additional areas of focus include the pace of eCommerce expansion and the contribution of Kroger Precision Marketing to overall profitability. Management has emphasized ongoing investments in associate wages and hours to improve the customer experience, which could influence operating expense trends.
Broader industry dynamics such as food inflation, consumer spending patterns, and competitive pressures in grocery retail will also shape results. The company’s strong balance sheet and share repurchase program remain supportive of shareholder returns, with free cash flow guidance of $2.7–$2.9 billion providing flexibility for capital expenditures and dividends.
How Tickeron’s AI Screener Fits Into My Research Process
When reviewing quarterly results like these, I find it useful to run a quick comparison of KR against industry peers using Tickeron’s AI Screener. The tool helps filter stocks by technical patterns, fundamentals, and performance metrics, which can surface additional context on how the company stacks up in the current environment. It is one resource I turn to alongside traditional analysis to identify broader trends or comparable names efficiently.
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Financial writer and active order flow futures trader with a focus on fundamental analysis, macroeconomic factors, and equity research. I make in-depth blogs on stocks and ETFs, bridging the gap between raw market data and real-world trading decisions.
KR's RSI Indicator peaks and leaves overbought zone
The 10-day RSI Indicator for KR moved out of overbought territory on September 16, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. Traders may want to look at selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 33 instances where the indicator moved out of the overbought zone. In 22 of the 33 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a move down at 67%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 41 of 71 cases where KR's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 58%.
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on September 28, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on KR as a result. In 53 of 98 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 54%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for KR turned negative on September 30, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 56 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 24 of the 56 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 43%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where KR declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 49%.
KR broke above its upper Bollinger Band on September 14, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Bullish Trend Analysis
KR moved above its 50-day moving average on September 24, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
The 10-day moving average for KR crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on August 28, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 7 of 13 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 54%.
Following a +3.49% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where KR advanced for three days, in 169 of 306 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 55%.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 111 of 213 cases where KR Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 52%.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 8 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 16 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (6.035) is normal, around the industry mean (3.407). P/E Ratio (32.265) is within average values for comparable stocks, (55.345). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.585) is also within normal values, averaging (0.979). Dividend Yield (0.024) settles around the average of (0.014) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.258) is also within normal values, averaging (10.259).
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 51 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 79, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 56 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. KR’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 58 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
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an operator of supermarkets and convenience stores
Industry FoodRetail
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