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published in Blogs
Apr 09, 2023

Last month, an AI trading robot generated a 7% growth for SHOP.

Our robot factory's top-performing AI trading robot, which can be found at Day Trader: Medium Volatility Stocks for Active Trading (TA&FA), produced a 7% return for  SHOP during the last month.

Last month, an AI trading robot generated a 7% growth for SHOP. However, the current market analysis suggests that the stock may be headed for a correction. On March 31, 2023, SHOP broke above its upper Bollinger Band, which is a technical indicator used by traders to measure a stock's volatility and potential price movement.

Breaking above the upper Bollinger Band is usually considered a bullish signal, indicating that the stock is overbought and likely to continue its upward momentum. However, the fact that the stock has broken above the upper band means that it may be due for a pullback soon. As the stock moves back towards the middle band, traders may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

The A.I.dvisor, which is the AI trading robot responsible for the 7% growth in SHOP last month, has looked at 51 similar instances where the stock broke above the upper band. Out of these instances, the stock fell afterwards in 40 cases. This puts the odds of success for a bearish trade at 78%.

It is important to note that while technical analysis can provide valuable insights into a stock's potential movement, it is not a foolproof strategy. Traders should always consider other factors, such as market conditions, company news, and economic indicators, before making a trading decision.

While the AI trading robot generated impressive growth for SHOP last month, the current technical analysis suggests that the stock may be headed for a correction. Traders should consider selling the stock or exploring put options as the stock moves back towards the middle Bollinger Band. With a success rate of 78% in similar instances, it may be worth considering a bearish trade. However, traders should always exercise caution and do their own research before making any trading decision.

Related Ticker: SHOP

SHOP's Stochastic Oscillator remains in oversold zone for 13 days

The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an uptrend is expected.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where SHOP's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, of 21 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where SHOP advanced for three days, in of 336 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

SHOP may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on April 03, 2024. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on SHOP as a result. In of 86 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for SHOP turned negative on April 03, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 51 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 51 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

SHOP moved below its 50-day moving average on March 22, 2024 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where SHOP declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator for SHOP entered a downward trend on April 22, 2024. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Fear & Greed

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. SHOP’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 90, placing this stock slightly better than average.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (11.099) is normal, around the industry mean (29.871). P/E Ratio (781.900) is within average values for comparable stocks, (155.580). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.291) is also within normal values, averaging (2.725). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.081) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (14.347) is also within normal values, averaging (55.249).

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Microsoft Corp (NASDAQ:MSFT), Oracle Corp (NYSE:ORCL), Salesforce (NYSE:CRM), Adobe (NASDAQ:ADBE), Intuit (NASDAQ:INTU), Uber Technologies (NYSE:UBER), SERVICENOW (NYSE:NOW), Shopify (NYSE:SHOP), Palo Alto Networks (NASDAQ:PANW), CrowdStrike Holdings (NASDAQ:CRWD).

Industry description

Packaged software comprises multiple software programs bundled together and sold as a group. For example, Microsoft Office includes multiple applications such as Excel, Word, and PowerPoint. In some cases, buying a bundled product is cheaper than purchasing each item individually[s20] . Microsoft Corporation, Oracle Corp. and Adobe are some major American packaged software makers.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Packaged Software Industry is 10.07B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 291 to 3.15T. MSFT holds the highest valuation in this group at 3.15T. The lowest valued company is BLGI at 291.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Packaged Software Industry was -0%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 577%, and the average quarterly price growth was 16%. KASHF experienced the highest price growth at 261%, while MGAM experienced the biggest fall at -74%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Packaged Software Industry was -10%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -9% and the average quarterly volume growth was 6%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 52
P/E Growth Rating: 75
Price Growth Rating: 60
SMR Rating: 84
Profit Risk Rating: 89
Seasonality Score: -11 (-100 ... +100)
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SHOPDaily Signal changed days agoGain/Loss if shorted
 
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A.I.Advisor
published price charts
A.I. Advisor
published General Information

General Information

an operator of eCommerce website that allows customers to sell online by providing software to create an online store

Industry PackagedSoftware

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Information Technology Services
Address
151 O'Connor Street
Phone
+1 613 241-2828
Employees
8300
Web
https://www.shopify.com
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