Lennar (LEN, $66.03) beats Q2 earnings expectations
Lennar posted its second-quarter earnings that surpassed analysts’ expectations, leading to the homebuilding company’s shares climbing by as much as 5% in the premarket Tuesday.
Net income rose to $4.49 a share, from the year-ago quarter’s $2.65 a share. Excluding mark-to-market losses on technology investments, the company’s earnings came in at $4.69, exceeding the consensus expectations of $3.95 a share (based on FactSet poll).
Lennar’s total revenue surged +30% from the year-ago quarter to $8.36 billion, topping FactSet consensus of $8.11 billion.
Revenue from the Homebuilding business segment rose +32.3% from the prior-year quarter to $7.98 billion. Home deliveries for the quarter increased +14% year-over-year to 16,549 units. The average sales price of homes delivered was $483,000, + 17% higher from the year-ago level.
New orders were up+ 4% from the year-ago quarter to 17,792 homes. The potential value of net orders climbed +20% year over year to $9.1 billion.
Gross margin on home sales widened to 23.4% from 18.6%, notwithstanding increases in materials costs and wages .
“The weight of a rapid doubling of interest rates over six months, together with accelerated price appreciation, began to drive buyers in many markets to pause and reconsider. We began to see these effects after quarter end,” Lennar executive chairman Stuart Miller mentioned.
Looking ahead, , Lennar expects deliveries of 68,000 homes for fiscal year 2022. The company, did not issue guidance for other metrics, citing its belief that the Fed’s actions “are still quite fluid and responsive to inflation data.”
For the fiscal third quarter, the company projects deliveries in the range of 17,000-18,500 homes, with a gross margin on home sales of 28.5-29.5%. It expects new orders to be in the range of 16,000 to 18,000 units,
LEN's Indicator enters downward trend
The Aroon Indicator for LEN entered a downward trend on March 12, 2025. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor identified a pattern where the AroonDown red line was above 70 while the AroonUp green line was below 30 for three straight days. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. A.I.dvisor looked at 141 similar instances where the Aroon Indicator formed such a pattern. In of the 141 cases the stock moved lower. This puts the odds of a downward move at .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 72 cases where LEN's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on March 11, 2025. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on LEN as a result. In of 85 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
LEN moved below its 50-day moving average on March 07, 2025 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where LEN declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
LEN broke above its upper Bollinger Band on March 06, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for LEN just turned positive on March 05, 2025. Looking at past instances where LEN's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 54 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where LEN advanced for three days, in of 315 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 65, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.753) is normal, around the industry mean (7.196). P/E Ratio (11.784) is within average values for comparable stocks, (103.177). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.325) is also within normal values, averaging (1.437). LEN has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.010) as compared to the industry average of (0.046). P/S Ratio (1.345) is also within normal values, averaging (88.859).
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. LEN’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
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General Information
a builder of residential buildings and provides residential mortgage, title and closing services
Industry Homebuilding