Lennar's (LEN, $98.24) delivery forecast is below analysts' expectations, amid supply challenges
Homebuilding company Lennar Corp.’s fourth quarter delivery forecast is lower than analysts’ expectations, as supply chain challenges in the homebuilding industry weigh on outlook.
"During the third quarter, our company and the homebuilding industry as a whole continued to experience unprecedented supply chain challenges which we believe will continue into the foreseeable future," Lennar Executive Chairman Stuart Miller said.
Lennar cited land supply chain challenges due to delays in permit approvals. The company said it expects to deliver about 18,000 homes in the fourth quarter, compared with analysts’ expectations of 20,343 homes, according to Refinitiv data.
Orders increased +4.6% to 16,277 homes in the third-quarter. Deliveries in the quarter increased to 15,199 units from 13,842 units.
Average price for homes delivered rose +8% to $428,000.
Net earnings attributable to the company surged +111% to $1.41 billion, or $4.52 per share, in the quarter ended Aug. 31.
Revenue increased +18.2% to $6.94 billion, exceeding analysts' expectations of $6.87 billion.
LEN in upward trend: price expected to rise as it breaks its lower Bollinger Band on December 19, 2024
LEN may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options. In of 32 cases where LEN's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, its price rose further in the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 9 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an Uptrend is expected.
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 13 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where LEN advanced for three days, in of 323 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on December 04, 2024. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on LEN as a result. In of 83 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for LEN turned negative on December 05, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 51 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 51 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .
LEN moved below its 50-day moving average on November 26, 2024 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where LEN declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator for LEN entered a downward trend on December 24, 2024. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 60, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.753) is normal, around the industry mean (7.196). P/E Ratio (11.784) is within average values for comparable stocks, (103.177). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.325) is also within normal values, averaging (1.437). Dividend Yield (0.010) settles around the average of (0.044) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.345) is also within normal values, averaging (88.859).
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. LEN’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
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General Information
a builder of residential buildings and provides residential mortgage, title and closing services
Industry Homebuilding