Lennar's (LEN, $98.24) delivery forecast is below analysts' expectations, amid supply challenges
Homebuilding company Lennar Corp.’s fourth quarter delivery forecast is lower than analysts’ expectations, as supply chain challenges in the homebuilding industry weigh on outlook.
"During the third quarter, our company and the homebuilding industry as a whole continued to experience unprecedented supply chain challenges which we believe will continue into the foreseeable future," Lennar Executive Chairman Stuart Miller said.
Lennar cited land supply chain challenges due to delays in permit approvals. The company said it expects to deliver about 18,000 homes in the fourth quarter, compared with analysts’ expectations of 20,343 homes, according to Refinitiv data.
Orders increased +4.6% to 16,277 homes in the third-quarter. Deliveries in the quarter increased to 15,199 units from 13,842 units.
Average price for homes delivered rose +8% to $428,000.
Net earnings attributable to the company surged +111% to $1.41 billion, or $4.52 per share, in the quarter ended Aug. 31.
Revenue increased +18.2% to $6.94 billion, exceeding analysts' expectations of $6.87 billion.
Momentum Indicator for LEN turns negative, indicating new downward trend
LEN saw its Momentum Indicator move below the 0 level on October 31, 2025. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new downward move. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 83 similar instances where the indicator turned negative. In of the 83 cases, the stock moved further down in the following days. The odds of a decline are at .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for LEN turned negative on November 13, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 53 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 53 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where LEN declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator for LEN entered a downward trend on October 20, 2025. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where LEN's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, of 21 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 3 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where LEN advanced for three days, in of 309 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
LEN may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 72, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. LEN’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.314) is normal, around the industry mean (19.755). P/E Ratio (11.499) is within average values for comparable stocks, (54.474). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.123) is also within normal values, averaging (1.400). Dividend Yield (0.017) settles around the average of (0.038) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.874) is also within normal values, averaging (24.805).
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General Information
a builder of residential buildings and provides residential mortgage, title and closing services
Industry Homebuilding
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