Ligand Pharmaceuticals (LGND) on the Upswing: AI Predicts 4% Monthly Growth despite Bearish Signals
Despite recent bearish indicators, Ligand Pharmaceuticals (LGND, $71.7) has shown resilience and is forecasted to grow by 4% to $74.57 or more within the next month. Our trusty AI advisor, after considering numerous scenarios where the stock trended up over the month, puts the odds of this uptrend continuation at a promising 76%.
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This outlook comes amidst challenging circumstances. The biotechnology industry, in which Ligand operates, shows an average market capitalization of 2.08B. Across the sector, market caps range from a modest 402 (PNEXF) to a whopping 345.46B (NONOF). Despite this vast disparity, Ligand has managed to hold its ground and show potential for growth.
Over the past week, the biotech sector exhibited a price growth of -3%. Looking further into the past, monthly price growth averaged 1%, while the quarterly growth reached 30%. The sector saw considerable volatility, with AGLE showcasing the highest price growth at an impressive 257% and AVTX experiencing the sharpest fall at -89%.
Furthermore, the volume growth in the industry has been dipping with weekly, monthly, and quarterly growth rates of -30%, -15%, and -75% respectively. Despite this overall reduction in trading activity, Ligand continues to make strides.
However, it's worth noting that LGND has seen a downward trend recently, with its 10-day moving average moving below the 50-day moving average on June 28, 2023. This crossover, typically considered a bearish signal, indicates that the trend may have shifted downwards. In previous instances where the 10-day average crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month in 13 out of 14 cases.
Although this suggests a 90% chance of a continued downward trend, the resilience and positive growth prediction for Ligand provide a compelling counter-narrative. Ligand Pharmaceuticals' ability to defy odds and expectations sets it apart, making it a stock to watch closely in the coming weeks.
Stay tuned as we continue to monitor these market movements and provide timely insights to help guide your investment decisions. At Tickeron, we believe in unleashing the power of artificial intelligence to enhance trading decisions, and our marketing team plays a pivotal role in sharing this vision with the world
LGND's RSI Oscillator climbs out of oversold territory
The RSI Oscillator for LGND moved out of oversold territory on April 09, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from a downward trend to an upward trend. Traders may want to buy the stock or call options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 26 similar instances when the indicator left oversold territory. In of the 26 cases the stock moved higher. This puts the odds of a move higher at .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 1 day, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where LGND advanced for three days, in of 328 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 206 cases where LGND Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on May 06, 2025. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on LGND as a result. In of 81 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for LGND turned negative on May 07, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 45 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 45 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .
LGND moved below its 50-day moving average on May 05, 2025 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for LGND crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on May 08, 2025. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 16 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The 50-day moving average for LGND moved below the 200-day moving average on April 30, 2025. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where LGND declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
LGND broke above its upper Bollinger Band on April 29, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. LGND’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 95, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.399) is normal, around the industry mean (14.243). P/E Ratio (46.189) is within average values for comparable stocks, (62.770). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (1.866). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.024) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (11.312) is also within normal values, averaging (253.449).
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly better than average sales and a considerably profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
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a biotechnology company
Industry Biotechnology