Lockheed Martin (LMT, $300.95) walks away from $15 billion Saudi arms deal
Lockheed Martin, best known for the F-35 fighter, has been awarded a $945.9 million down payment on a $15 billion missile-defense agreement for Saudi -- called the Arabia Terminal High Altitude Area Defense (THAAD) -- by the Pentagon. This move could potentially alleviate the long standing tensions between Saudi and the Western governments. It is also the first step in a larger deal struck last year between the U.S. and Saudi Arabia that will eventually benefit the Saudi kingdom with 44 THAAD launchers, missiles and affiliated equipment.
Tensions between the Saudi and the U.S government had increased over the Saudi-linked killing of the journalist Jamal Khashoggi last October amidst criticism of Saudi’s role in an on-going civil war in Yemen. This led to a rethinking of the U.S.-Saudi relationship over military deals. But this new deal could be a good sign that the THAAD deal will proceed uninterrupted. The $15 billion THAAD agreement was one of the few specific deals reached as part of a comprehensive $110 billion U.S./Saudi arms package negotiated in 2017.
The THAAD system is designed to shoot down short- and medium-range ballistic missiles on their descent. Its successful operations include deterring Korean rockets over the Pacific last year. It is also a potential deterrent to Iran, which is why the system is of interest to both Saudi Arabia and Israel among other U.S. allies in the region.
Even though the THAAD deal appears safe, others have not been so lucky. A case in point is General Dynamics whose land-systems business was significantly impacted by diplomatic issues between Canada and an unnamed customer. General Dynamics (GD) in December launched a public campaign against attempts by Canadian government officials to block a $13 billion sale of Canada-made armoured vehicles to the Saudis.
LMT in -0.75% downward trend, declining for three consecutive days on October 02, 2026
Moving lower for three straight days is viewed as a bearish sign. Keep an eye on this stock for future declines. Considering data from situations where LMT declined for three days, in 151 of 284 cases, the price declined further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 53%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on September 24, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on LMT as a result. In 42 of 79 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 53%.
The 10-day moving average for LMT crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on September 04, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 6 of 16 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 38%.
The 50-day moving average for LMT moved below the 200-day moving average on September 21, 2026. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.
The Aroon Indicator for LMT entered a downward trend on October 09, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where LMT's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, 21 of 36 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 58%.
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 11 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for LMT just turned positive on October 09, 2026. Looking at past instances where LMT's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 20 of 41 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 49%.
Following a +2.08% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where LMT advanced for three days, in 196 of 341 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 57%.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 15 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 43 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 77, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 59 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (13.643) is normal, around the industry mean (6.305). P/E Ratio (19.104) is within average values for comparable stocks, (58.116). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.978) is also within normal values, averaging (2.564). Dividend Yield (0.027) settles around the average of (0.009) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.616) is also within normal values, averaging (18.330).
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 59 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. LMT’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 77 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
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General Information
a manufacturer of components and systems for aerospace and defense use
Industry AerospaceDefense
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