Long-Short Equity Swing Trade: AMC's 13.88% Growth Strategy Revealed!
Swing Trader: Long-Short Equity Strategy (TA&FA) Yields 13.88% for AMC
In a dynamic marketplace, it is essential to identify opportunities and strategies that enhance returns. AMC Entertainment Holdings, Inc. (AMC), a titan of the movie theater industry, has recently made headlines due to its performance as part of a swing trader's long-short equity strategy involving both technical analysis (TA) and fundamental analysis (FA). This strategy has generated a compelling return of 13.88% for AMC, illustrating the effectiveness of combining various analytical approaches in informed trading.
An exciting development for AMC has been its trend reversal, signaling a potential upward price movement. This assertion stems from the stock breaching its lower Bollinger Band on June 22, 2023. The Bollinger Band, a tool in technical analysis, is frequently used to gauge volatility and predict potential price levels. When a stock's price falls below its lower Bollinger Band, it indicates that the stock may be oversold, providing an opportunity for buyers to come in, thus potentially triggering an upward trend.
Given this trend, traders may find an opportunity to profit by buying the stock or exploring call options. This strategy banks on the probability of the price bouncing back above the lower band and then heading toward the middle band. Indeed, historical data adds credence to this analysis, with AMC's price rising further in the following month in 37 out of 40 cases where the stock's price broke its lower Bollinger Band. The odds of a continued upward trend are quite promising, standing at an impressive 90%.
The combination of technical and fundamental analysis is proving instrumental in navigating the volatile landscape of trading. The compelling 13.88% return generated by the long-short equity strategy for AMC is a testament to the utility of such integrated analytical approaches. As the market dynamics continue to evolve, such comprehensive analysis will remain crucial in identifying lucrative investment opportunities and devising effective strategies.
AMC's RSI Indicator leaves overbought zone
The 10-day RSI Oscillator for AMC moved out of overbought territory on December 06, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. Traders may want to look at selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 28 instances where the indicator moved out of the overbought zone. In of the 28 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a move down at .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on December 09, 2024. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on AMC as a result. In of 83 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for AMC turned negative on December 09, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 36 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 36 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .
AMC moved below its 50-day moving average on December 10, 2024 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for AMC crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on December 18, 2024. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 16 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where AMC declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
AMC broke above its upper Bollinger Band on November 27, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 14 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where AMC advanced for three days, in of 240 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 136 cases where AMC Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.000) is normal, around the industry mean (5.661). P/E Ratio (0.000) is within average values for comparable stocks, (92.419). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (2.987). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.040) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.124) is also within normal values, averaging (29.809).
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. AMC’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. AMC’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 86, placing this stock worse than average.
Notable companies
Industry description
Market Cap
High and low price notable news
Volume
Fundamental Analysis Ratings
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
General Information
a holding company with interest in movie theatres
Industry MoviesEntertainment