Lumentum (LITE, $44.97) lowers guidance, shares extend decline
Lumentum Holdings shares extended their decline Monday, on news of the telecom equipment maker lowering its outlook on current quarter revenue.
The company announced that it halted shipments to telecom/electronics giant Huawei, and currently expects revenues for the three months ending in June to range between $375 million and $390 million – below its prior predicted range of $405 million and $425 million.
Lumentum has also slashed its earnings per share guidance to a range of 65 cents to 77 cents a share, compared to the previous estimated range of 85 cents to $1.00.
Indicating that it aims to comply with the U.S. export regulations vis-a-vis license requirements, the company said, "Lumentum has discontinued all shipments to Huawei effective as of the date the licensing requirements went into effect and cannot predict when it will be able to resume shipments".
LITE in +28.35% Uptrend, growing for three consecutive days on November 24, 2025
Moving higher for three straight days is viewed as a bullish sign. Keep an eye on this stock for future growth. Considering data from situations where LITE advanced for three days, in of 311 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on November 21, 2025. You may want to consider a long position or call options on LITE as a result. In of 84 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for LITE just turned positive on November 24, 2025. Looking at past instances where LITE's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 44 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 231 cases where LITE Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for LITE moved out of overbought territory on November 25, 2025. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 41 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 41 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .
The Stochastic Oscillator entered the overbought zone. Expect a price pull-back in the foreseeable future.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where LITE declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
LITE broke above its upper Bollinger Band on November 24, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 77, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. LITE’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: LITE's P/B Ratio (26.455) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (4.939). LITE's P/E Ratio (178.693) is considerably higher than the industry average of (44.373). LITE's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is very low in comparison to the industry average of (1.172). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.031) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (11.403) is also within normal values, averaging (23.956).
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
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General Information
a provider of optical and photonic products
Industry TelecommunicationsEquipment
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