Market Volatility as Coronavirus Spreads
For weeks, the equity markets seemed to shrug-off the possibility of negative impact from a spreading coronavirus. But the tone changed this week, as the S&P 500 posted sharp declines early in the week as confirmed cases grew sharply across the world – particularly in developed economies like South Korea, Japan, Italy, and even here in the US.
While equities sold off sharply, the yield on the 10-year US Treasury fell to a record low and oil prices dropped below $50 a barrel – all signs of growing investor concern over demand and economic growth in the coming months and quarters.
In my view, volatility is likely to persist as investor attention is decisively shifted away from fundamentals (revenues and earnings) and towards the unknown (headlines). In short, however, I also think the fear of the coronavirus as a global pandemic is arguably greater, for now, than the actual economic impact it is likely to have. While I don't mean to downplay the seriousness of the outbreak, history suggests that the impact to growth and market performance – and the grip that the outbreak holds on global psychology and confidence – will be temporary. I'll be buying the dips when I can.
URTH in upward trend: price may jump up because it broke its lower Bollinger Band on October 10, 2025
URTH may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options. In of 37 cases where URTH's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, its price rose further in the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where URTH advanced for three days, in of 365 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 400 cases where URTH Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for URTH moved out of overbought territory on October 07, 2025. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 46 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 46 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .
The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 65 cases where URTH's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 10, 2025. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on URTH as a result. In of 78 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for URTH turned negative on October 09, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 51 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 51 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where URTH declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
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