Market Volatility as Coronavirus Spreads
For weeks, the equity markets seemed to shrug-off the possibility of negative impact from a spreading coronavirus. But the tone changed this week, as the S&P 500 posted sharp declines early in the week as confirmed cases grew sharply across the world – particularly in developed economies like South Korea, Japan, Italy, and even here in the US.
While equities sold off sharply, the yield on the 10-year US Treasury fell to a record low and oil prices dropped below $50 a barrel – all signs of growing investor concern over demand and economic growth in the coming months and quarters.
In my view, volatility is likely to persist as investor attention is decisively shifted away from fundamentals (revenues and earnings) and towards the unknown (headlines). In short, however, I also think the fear of the coronavirus as a global pandemic is arguably greater, for now, than the actual economic impact it is likely to have. While I don't mean to downplay the seriousness of the outbreak, history suggests that the impact to growth and market performance – and the grip that the outbreak holds on global psychology and confidence – will be temporary. I'll be buying the dips when I can.
URTH's MACD Histogram crosses above signal line
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for URTH turned positive on November 28, 2025. Looking at past instances where URTH's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 52 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where URTH's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, of 28 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on November 28, 2025. You may want to consider a long position or call options on URTH as a result. In of 81 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
URTH moved above its 50-day moving average on November 25, 2025 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where URTH advanced for three days, in of 369 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
URTH may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator entered the overbought zone. Expect a price pull-back in the foreseeable future.
The 10-day moving average for URTH crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on November 21, 2025. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 12 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where URTH declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator for URTH entered a downward trend on November 28, 2025. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
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