McDonald's Corp (MCD, $294.58)after its earning report on April 25
On Thursday, April 25, McDonald's Corp (MCD) released its earnings report, showing a decline in the company's stock. Following this release, MCD has been on a downward trend for three consecutive days, with a total decline of 1.17% as of April 26, 2023. This article examines the significance of this bearish sign and the odds of a continued downward trend for the fast-food giant in the coming month.
Three-Day Downward Trend: A Bearish Sign for McDonald's Corp
Market analysts view a three-day downward trend as a bearish sign, often prompting investors to keep a close eye on the stock for potential further declines. McDonald's Corp's recent slide in stock price has caught the attention of investors and analysts alike, as the company's stock has moved lower for three straight days following the earnings report.
Historical Data: Analyzing the Odds of a Continued Decline
To better understand the implications of this three-day decline for McDonald's Corp's future stock performance, it's essential to examine historical data. When looking at past situations where MCD experienced a similar three-day decline, we find that in 98 of 258 cases, the stock price continued to decline within the following month. This translates to a 38% chance of a continued downward trend.
What This Means for Investors
While a 38% probability of a continued downward trend for McDonald's Corp's stock might seem concerning, it's crucial for investors to remember that this figure is not a guarantee. The historical data serves as a useful reference, but it doesn't provide a definitive prediction for the stock's future performance.
Investors should consider other factors affecting McDonald's Corp's stock price, such as recent earnings reports, industry trends, and overall market performance. Furthermore, it's essential to assess one's risk tolerance and investment strategy when deciding whether to hold, buy, or sell MCD shares.
McDonald's Corp's recent three-day downward trend is considered a bearish sign, leading many investors to keep a close eye on the stock for potential further declines. Historical data suggests that there is a 38% chance of a continued downward trend in the following month. However, investors should be cautious not to rely solely on this probability and should consider a variety of factors when making investment decisions regarding McDonald's Corp's stock.
MCD in upward trend: 10-day moving average crossed above 50-day moving average on November 17, 2025
The 10-day moving average for MCD crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on November 17, 2025. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 20 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on November 20, 2025. You may want to consider a long position or call options on MCD as a result. In of 94 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for MCD just turned positive on November 12, 2025. Looking at past instances where MCD's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 50 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
MCD moved above its 50-day moving average on November 20, 2025 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where MCD advanced for three days, in of 324 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
MCD may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 82 cases where MCD's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The 50-day moving average for MCD moved below the 200-day moving average on November 17, 2025. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where MCD declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 84, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. MCD’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.000) is normal, around the industry mean (5.467). P/E Ratio (26.489) is within average values for comparable stocks, (37.129). MCD's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.549) is slightly higher than the industry average of (1.566). Dividend Yield (0.023) settles around the average of (0.061) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (8.482) is also within normal values, averaging (8.264).
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General Information
an operator of food restaurant chain
Industry Restaurants
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